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DENVER BRONCOS
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2009
draft 2008 draft
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2005
draft 2004
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draft
2009
DRAFT PICKS
links go to
NFL.com website
| Rd |
Sel# |
Player |
Pos. |
School |
Jay's
ranking |
Jay's
draft value |
| 1 |
12 |
Knowshon
Moreno |
RB |
Georgia |
#3
RB |
Round
2 |
| 1 |
18 |
Robert
Ayers |
DE/LB |
Tennessee |
#2
DE |
Round
1 |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
| Ayers
had a sack in the 11 on 11's and made a good play on
another occasion staying at home versus a run. In
the one-on-one's he looked good against everyone but Oher. |
|
ONE
ON ONE BLOCKING DRILLS SCORED BY JAY GOLDBERG |
| 6
- 5 |
Kropog
1-1 Oher 0-4 Luigs 1-0 Wood 2-0
Caldwell 2-0 |
|
|
Senior
Bowl Game |
Ayers
showed excellent pass rush skills and also had a nice play
against the run where chased down and tackled a ballcarrier. |
| 2 |
37 |
Alphonso
Smith |
CB |
Wake
Forest |
#2
CB |
Round
1 |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
Looked
very good in coverage, has a nose for the ball. |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher than
him. |
Smith
is an undersized corner with great cover and ball skills.
Smith can play in a man-to-man or in a cover-two scheme.
The team that drafts Smith will get a playmaker in addition to a
terrific cornerback. Smith will be a star in the
NFL. In fact, if I were a NFL GM, I would target Smith as
my guy, even over some of the more highly touted corners in the
draft. |
| 2 |
48 |
Darcel
McBath |
FS |
Texas
Tech |
#6
FS |
Round
4 |
| 2 |
64 |
Richard
Quinn |
TE |
North
Carolina |
#8
TE |
Round
4 |
| 4 |
114 |
David
Bruton |
FS |
Notre
Dame |
#4
FS |
Round
4 |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
Burton
did not flash but had very limited face time. |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher than
him. |
Bruton
was productive in college and proved to be faster, more
athletic, more fluid and stronger than originally thought.
He has tremendous physical skills and could be a very pleasant
surprise for the team that drafts him. |
| 4 |
132 |
Seth
Olsen |
OG |
Iowa |
#6
OG |
Round
3 |
|
East
West Shrine Game |
Olsen
looked like a beast at times blocking in the run game. |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher than
him. |
Olsen
is a good run-blocker who proved to have better feet and be more
athletic than originally thought. Olsen had a solid East
West Shrine Game, and I have him rated higher than many other
draft analysts. |
| 5 |
141 |
Kenny
McKinley |
WR |
South
Carolina |
#16
WR |
Round
4 |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
McKinley
showed good hands and quickness when wasn't trying to put too
many moves together. |
| 6 |
174 |
Tom
Brandstater |
QB |
Fresno
State |
#7
QB |
Round
4 |
|
East
West Shrine Game |
Brandstater
is a big kid with a big arm and better mobility than it
appears. Brandstarter made some very good throws and, at
times, looked like a future NFL starter. He also had
moments where he overthrew receivers and looked like he could be
a coach-killer (teasing with good tools, but not putting it all
together). Net-net, based on what I saw he is worth a shot
on day two of the draft as a player who could be a later round
find. |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher than
him. |
Of
the quarterbacks after the big three plus Pat White, Brandstater
has the most upside. However, he is no sure thing.
Brandstater is a big kid with a big arm, and better mobility
than it appears. If on the surface that sounds like Big
Ben and Baltimore Joe, well, it does. However, unlike
those two, Brandstater makes too many plays that make you
scratch your head, and at times overthrows his receivers.
So who will Brandstater be down the line in the NFL?
Will he grow into the quarterback he looks like when he is very,
very good; or will he be a tease and a coach killer? Since
I have a fourth round grade on him, not a sixth or seventh like
most, I'm betting he will be a good NFL player. However, I
tagged him a round four value, behind Nathan Brown, not a round
two value because I recognize the risk. |
| 7 |
225 |
Blake
Schlueter |
OC |
TCU |
#6
OC |
Round
4 |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher than
him. |
Wow!
How many times do you see a center be a workout warrior.
However, he ran a 4.79 forty, the only forty (as of this
write-up) for centers below 5.05; ran a 4.28 short shuttle
(better than receivers Kenny Britt and Hakeem Nicks, and only
0.02 slower than Jeremy Macklin); and had a 35" vertical
jump, second best amongst all offensive lineman as of this
write-up. He will need to bulk up, but he was a three-year
starter and was selected All Mountain West three straight years. |
| FA |
---- |
Chris
Baker |
DE/DT |
Hampton |
#17
DT |
Round
5 |
| FA |
---- |
Marquez
Branson |
TE |
Central
Arkansas |
NR |
Late
Round Value |
| FA |
---- |
Tony
Carter |
CB |
Florida
State |
NR |
7th/FA |
| FA |
---- |
Britton
Colquitt |
P |
Tennessee |
NR |
7th/FA |
| FA |
---- |
Rulon
Davis |
DE |
California |
NR |
7th/FA |
| FA |
---- |
D.
J. Johnson |
CB/FS |
Jackson
State |
#22
CB |
Round
5 |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
Showed
some good things in coverage particularly press coverage in the
one on one's. However, was also beat often in the
one-on-one drills. He did flash a number of times,
however, in the 11 on 11's.
|
| FA |
---- |
Everette
Pedescleaux |
DE |
Northern
Iowa |
NR |
Late
Round Value |
| FA |
---- |
Lee
Robinson |
LB |
Alcorn
State |
#14
OLB |
Round
5 |
| FA |
---- |
Nate
Swift |
WR |
Nebraska |
NR |
7th/FA |
|
B-
|
2009
COLLEGE DRAFT REPORT CARD
|
by
Jay Goldberg
|
|
The
grade of B- is more reflective of the Broncos going in
different directions than I thought they should in the draft,
than it is a negative comment on the talent of the players
that they added. After all, the Broncos drafted five
players from my list of players who will have a better NFL
career than many drafted higher than them in the draft.
I thought the Broncos should have addressed their front seven
more than they did on day one. They did, however, sign
some college street free agents that could find roles on their
defensive line.
As
far as trading Jay Cutler, I get it and I do not
disagree. The "New England way" for a
quarterback is: first a leader, second a quarterback who can
read defenses, third a quarterback who won't make mistakes,
and fourth a quarterback who can win you games. Cutler
is not an ideal fit for that type of offensive philosophy.
If the Broncos started the year with Cutler, he may have
played poorly in that offense and eroded his some of his trade
value. So, I believe the Broncos did the right thing
trading him now. In fact, I believe that when Cutler
sulked, Bronco management took a sneaky strategy to allow his
brooding to grow so it would be easier to get rid of
him.
DRAFT
PICKS
The
Broncos, like most NFL teams had Moreno rated more highly than
I did. I was probably the only draft analyst who had a
high second round grade on him instead of a first round
grade. Even if he was good value at this spot, I
wouldn't have gone running back here, I would have gone
running back later. Last year in my analysis, for teams
that drafted a running back earlier than I would have, I wrote
that I would have waited and drafted Tashard Choice.
After he went to the Cowboys I thought he might be buried so
my observation would fall flat. However he shined after
injuries to Jones and Barber. This year the running back
I liked a lot who was available relatively late was Javon
Ringer. Once again, however, it may take an injury for
my observation to be judged since he was drafted by
Tennessee. As for what I would have done differently if
I were Bronco management, keeping the trade in the mix, my
first and second round selections for the Broncos would have
netted me, ILB Maualuga (and yes, I know this is much higher
than where he went, but he's worth it), CB A Smith, DT Brace, OLB Veikune and
DE Gilbert (or DE McGee). We'll see which would have
been better over time.
Robert
Ayers is a very good football player, but I'm not sure how
well he fits in to the 3-4 defense. He isn't big enough
to play end, and he isn't athletic enough to drop in coverage
as a linebacker. Oh, that doesn't mean he won't be
a good player in the 3-4, just not as dominate as one would
hope for from the 18th pick in the draft.
Other
draft analysts may question trading a number one next year to
draft Smith, but not me. He was my second rated corner
in the draft and is a much, much better player on the field
than a workout warrior. Smith has great ball instincts
and will be a Pro Bowl talent despite his short stature.
McBath
was a reach in round two. In fact, I had Bruton more
highly-rated. McBath, a converted corner, is a plus in
coverage but with Dawkins and Hill signed as free agents and
the promising Barrett on hand, even as the draft unfolded for
Denver up to this point, I can't see taking him over
Veikune, Cody Brown, Gilbert or McGee. Especially with
Denver grabbing Bruton in round four and Clemons also
available later in the draft.
Quinn,
one of the best blocking tight ends in the draft was rising up
many analyst's boards as the draft approached. On mine,
he remained a fourth round value. I can see some team
that had few holes possibly reaching to select him in round
two, but not the Broncos. I would have gone with McGee
or Gilbert and been more than happy if I landed a tight end
like Bear Pascoe or David Johnson, who are also good blockers,
later in the draft.
David
Bruton had a great workout. He is an amazing
athlete. He didn't always show that athletic ability on
the field, but he showed me enough for me to strongly believe
he will be a better NFL player than college player. Long
term, teamed up with Barrett, he could give the Broncos a very
fast, very good young safety duo.
Olsen
was good value in round four. He has quick feet and is a
very effective run blocker. He may never be Pro Bowl
caliber, but is the type of kid who will be a long-term solid
starter in the NFL. A good get by Denver.
McKinnley
was a nice get in round five. He has good speed,
quickness and hands, and down the line could be productive replacing
Gaffney in the New England "Gaffney-role" in the
Broncos' offense.
Brandstater
was one of my two favorite developmental quarterbacks in this
draft. He has the arm, pocket awareness and escapability
to flourish in the Broncos' new offensive scheme. He
will need to see the field better so he can make better decisions
if he is ever going to rise above solid backup status, but I
can see that happening, especially with Josh McDaniels
coaching him up.
Schlueter
had one of the best workouts ever for a center, and was an
extremely effecdtive football player at TCU. He is fast,
he has quick feet, and he is very athletic. He will need
to bulk up a bit, but is an intriguing prospect who was an
excellent seventh round pick. He was on my list of
players who will have a better NFL career than many
drafted higher than him in the draft (as was Smith, Bruton,
Olsen and Brandstater).
COLLEGE
STREET FREE AGENTS
After
failing to land big bodies for their defensive line in the
draft the Broncos made some good college free agent
signings. Of all their signings, Chris Baker is the best
and I expect him to make their team and be a contributor.
To me, in a 3-4 defense Baker is at end, and in fact, played
end in a 3-4 at Hampton. At 326 pounds he runs the forty
in under 5.00 and has quickness and athleticism. Whether
he will grow into a solid long term starter or reliable backup
will depend upon his work in the weight room. He needs
to build a bit more strength and stamina. If
the Broncos decide to trade Scheffler, Branson has a shot to
stick as a receiving threat at tight end. If Scheffler
stays he could be a good practice squad candidate.
Branson catches the ball well and has good speed for a tight
end. Carter
is a short corner with good speed. He has acceptable
athleticism, strength and quickness as well and has return
ability as well. Despite his short stature, Carter isn't
afraid to hit so he could stick as a special teams player and
extra corner, however with all the talent in camp it will be a
tough task. If he doesn't stick, he could make the Broncos' practice
squad. Colquitt
has a NFL-leg, but he will be showcasing it for other
teams. Kern will be Denver's punter. Rulon
Davis has the frame to play end in a 3-4 defense.
However he will need to add some bulk and strength to make the
team. He can always work on his body from the practice
squad if he shows enough talent. Johnson
is an interesting case. He was thought to be an early
second day pick as a cover corner and then put up numbers more
associated with cover two corners or free safeties.
However, as a cover two corner or safety you need to tackle
and Johnson only lifted the bar 7 times. Still, the kid
has talent so it will be interesting to see what happens to
him in Broncos' camp. Since I have a fifth round grade
on him, even after his workout, I'm betting that he has a
future in the NFL. Pedescleaux
is the third big-bodied college street free agent signed by
Denver. He has the size and speed to work with and could
land a spot on Denver's bench or practice squad. Lee
Robinson is another player who was hurt by his workout
(don't tell me the numbers count less than the tape).
Robinson played outside linebacker in college. However,
he is a good football player and has the size to play inside
in the Broncos' three-four. He may be a bit of a long
shot, but don't count this kid out. Swift
is a gritty kid with good hands who will have to make his
primary living in the NFL playing on special teams. He
has the make-up to perform well there, and if he sticks and is
forced into action on offense, he can catch the ball. |
For
chart below: red indicates workout number in top range at position in
draft
ARM-HAND
relative to position, for ranges see ranking pages for 2009 draft
LAST
NAME
at Combine |
FIRST
NAME |
SCHOOL |
HGT |
WGT |
ARM-
HAND |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT |
LONG |
3
CONE |
VERT |
BROAD |
| Moreno |
Knowshon |
Georgia |
5'10.5" |
217 |
S-XL |
25 |
4.55 |
1.58 |
2.64 |
4.27 |
11.63 |
6.84 |
35.5" |
9'7" |
| Ayers |
Robert |
Tennessee |
6'3.1" |
272 |
M-L |
18 |
4.77 |
1.66 |
2.78 |
4.46 |
- |
7.07 |
29.5" |
8'6" |
| Smith |
Alphonso |
Wake
Forest |
5'9" |
193 |
M-XL |
13 |
4.47 |
1.50 |
2.60 |
4.38 |
- |
7.09 |
34" |
10'5" |
| McBath |
Darcel |
Texas
Tech |
6'0.2" |
198 |
S-L |
17 |
4.53 |
1.53 |
2.62 |
4.16 |
- |
6.80 |
38" |
10'0" |
| Quinn |
Richard |
North
Carolina |
6'3.7" |
264 |
L-L |
24 |
4.87 |
1.62 |
2.84 |
4.62 |
- |
7.50 |
32.5" |
9'11" |
| Bruton |
David |
Notre
Dame |
6'2" |
219 |
XL-XL |
19 |
4.40 |
1.56 |
2.59 |
4.28 |
10.96 |
6.60 |
41.5" |
11'0" |
| Olsen |
Seth |
Iowa |
6'4.5" |
306 |
M-M |
28 |
5.23 |
1.75 |
3.03 |
4.70 |
- |
7.59 |
28" |
8'7" |
| McKinley |
Kenny |
South
Carolina |
6'0.3" |
189 |
S-M |
- |
4.33 |
1.46 |
2.53 |
4.10 |
- |
6.98 |
37" |
9'5" |
| Brandstater |
Tom |
Fresno
State |
6'5" |
220 |
M-L |
- |
4.87 |
1.62 |
2.84 |
4.37 |
- |
6.93 |
28.5" |
8'10" |
| Schlueter |
Blake |
TCU |
6'2.3" |
290 |
- |
28 |
4.79 |
1.64 |
2.77 |
4.28 |
- |
7.42 |
35" |
9'3" |
| Baker |
Chris |
Hampton |
6'2" |
326 |
L-L |
24 |
4.94 |
1.70 |
2.90 |
4.58 |
- |
8.07 |
35.5" |
8'10" |
| Branson |
Marquez |
Central
Arkansas |
6'2.1" |
247 |
XL-L |
22 |
4.55 |
1.55 |
2.63 |
4.40 |
- |
7.29 |
36" |
9'1" |
| Carter |
Tony |
Florida
State |
5'8.6" |
179 |
- |
17 |
4.41 |
1.53 |
2.52 |
4.19 |
- |
7.18 |
39" |
10'0" |
| Davis |
Rulon |
California |
6'4.6" |
281 |
XL-XL |
20 |
4.94 |
1.72 |
2.90 |
- |
- |
- |
30" |
9'3" |
| Johnson |
DJ |
Jackson
St |
6'1.3" |
197 |
L-XL |
7 |
4.50 |
1.50 |
2.57 |
4.28 |
- |
7.00 |
32" |
9'8" |
| Pedescleau |
Everette |
Northern
Iowa |
6'5.3" |
300 |
- |
- |
4.97 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Robinson |
Lee |
Alcorn
State |
6'2.2" |
249 |
L-L |
24 |
4.73 |
1.66 |
2.74 |
4.67 |
- |
7.57 |
32.5" |
9'5" |
| Swift |
Nate |
Nebraska |
6'1.3" |
203 |
S-M |
12 |
4.63 |
1.54 |
2.68 |
4.24 |
11.59 |
6.78 |
35" |
9'6" |
2009 NEEDS PRIOR TO DRAFT AND FREE
AGENCY
Major need
Need
Upgrade possible
Depth/possible need
Not a need
| QB |
Cutler is a good young
quarterback. Ramsey is an UFA. The team will need to
resign Ramsey or bring in another quarterback to back up Cutler.
They could also draft a young quarterback to groom as a back on
day two of the draft. |
| RB |
The Broncos have a lot of
bodies here but no sure things. Pittman is an UFA, Torain
looked good in a brief stint but has been injured much more than
healthy as a Bronco, Bell is best served as a change-of-pace
back, Young has flashed in the past so their is some hope,
Hillis is solid but doesn't have big-play ability, Aldridge can
fly but is too small to be a number one back. Look for
Denver top add a back later in the draft to add to the mix of
potential starters. |
| WR |
Marshall and Royal are
two excellent starters, and Royal could excel in a Wes
Welker-like role in ne coach McDaniel's offense. Darrell
Jackson is an UFA. Chad Jackson is familiar with new
offense since he was drafted by New England and could finally
emerge as a contributor in the NFL. Look for Denver to
bring in a receiver or two since the new offense will use a lot
of multiple receiver sets. |
| TE |
Graham is another player
familiar with the new offense. Scheffler's role could
decrease because the new offense is not tight end oriented.
If Jackson comes back healthy it wouldn't surprise me if the
Broncos moved Scheffler during the draft and grab a tight end
who is a better blocking/receiving combination. |
| OL |
The Broncos' offensive
line is solid. Clady was a great pick and will have a
long, Pro Bowl NFL career. Harris did better than I
expected at right tackle. The Broncos need here is to
bring in some bodies to compete for backup roles. |
| DL |
The Broncos are going to
a 3-4 and I'm not sure who on their roster can fill out the
starting lineup. Powell could possibly kick outside to end
in the 3-4, maybe Thomas can also. Robertson was ushered
out of New York because he didn't fit the 3-4 defense.
Crowder and Moss will have to try their hands at OLB. This
team needs to rebuild its entire defensive line. |
| LB |
In the 3-4, Williams will
be one of the inside linebackers. Woodyard is scrappy, but
may be too small to play inside in the 3-4. He could
either mover to strong safety or be the team's nickel
linebacker. Webster is an UFA who will, most likely, not
be brought back. Outside Moss, Crowder and Winborn will
get looks and the Broncos hope at least one comes through.
This team needs 3-4 linebackers. |
| DB |
I like the Broncos'
cornerbacks. Bailey and Bly are a very good starting pair,
Bell and Williams showed some skills and can improve, and I'm
still waiting for Paymah to stake a claim to a significant role
on defense. Strong safety Barrett is a player who I like a
lot and who is only going to get better. He has very good
speed and makes big hits. The team needs a new starting
free safety. |
| ST |
Competition needs to be
brought in for Prater, although he has a big leg and using him
again next year would not be bad. Kern is a good young
punter. Royal is an excellent young return man and based
on the "New England" model, using the starting slot
receiver (Welker in New England) on punts is not something that
the new coach will frown upon. |
2008
DRAFT PICKS
links go to
NFL.com website
| Rd |
Sel# |
Player |
Pos. |
Ht. |
Wt. |
School |
Jay's ranking |
Jay's draft value |
| 1 |
12 |
Ryan
Clady |
OT |
6'6.1" |
309 |
Boise St |
#2 OT |
Round 1 |
| 2 |
42 |
Eddie
Royal |
WR/Ret |
5'9.5" |
184 |
Virg Tech |
#13 WR |
Round 3 |
| 4 |
108 |
Kory
Lichtensteiger |
C/OG |
6'2.2" |
298 |
Bowling Green |
# 4 C |
Round 4 |
| 4 |
119 |
Jack
Williams |
CB/FS |
5'9" |
180 |
Kent State |
#20 CB |
Round 4/Round 5 |
| 5 |
139 |
Ryan
Torain |
RB |
6'0.3" |
222 |
Arizona St |
|
Late Round Value |
| 5 |
148 |
Carlton
Powell |
DT |
6'2" |
292 |
Virg Tech |
#15 DT |
Round 4/Round 5 |
| 6 |
183 |
Spencer
Larsen |
ILB |
6'1.6" |
238 |
Arizona |
#7 ILB |
Round 4 |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher
than him.
|
Larsen
is a better football player than workout warrior.
He will probably go on day two and be a top backup or stop-gap
starter (although it wouldn't surprise me if he becomes a
solid starter), but he will be a valuable member of a team
while many linebackers selected ahead of him are limited to
special teams and practice squads. |
| 7 |
220 |
Josh
Barrett |
SS/OLB |
6'1.6" |
223 |
Arizona St |
#1 SS |
Round 2 |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher
than him.
|
Barrett
is going to be one of the steals of this draft. He has a
second round grade from me but, most likely, won't hear his
name called in round two. He is a big-time hitter who
has great speed, and good quickness and athleticism. He
will be a demon in the box against the run, and has the speed
to keep up with receivers in the deep zones. Barrett
will develop into one of the top strong safeties in the
league. |
| 7 |
227 |
Peyton
Hillis |
FB |
6'0.6" |
240 |
Arkansas |
#1 FB |
Round 4/Round 5 |
| FA |
|
Anthony Alridge |
RB/WR/Ret |
5'9" |
170 |
Houston |
#17 RB |
Round 4/Round 5 |
| FA |
|
Tyler Polumbus |
OT |
6'7.4" |
314 |
Colorado |
|
Late Round Value |
| FA |
|
Loren Sam |
WR |
6'3.2" |
220 |
UTEP |
|
Late Round
Value/Free Agent |
| FA |
|
Garrett Hartley |
PK |
5'8" |
204 |
Oklahom |
|
Free Agent |
| FA |
|
Brad Kern |
P |
6'3" |
201 |
Toledo |
# 2 P |
Late Round Value |
| FA |
|
Wesley Woodyard |
OLB/SS |
6'0.3" |
227 |
Kentucky |
#4 OLB |
Round 2/Round 3 |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher
than him.
|
Woodyard
is a very active player with the ability to make plays
sideline-to-sideline. He has excellent speed and
quickness. He is also a tough kid who likes to hit.
He is perfect as a WILL linebacker on a team that emphasizes
speed over size. He looked very good during Senior Bowl
practices making tackle after tackle in drills. However,
in the game he had some very good moments, but also missed
some tackles. He will need to play under a little
more control to become a more sure tackler in the NFL, but I
believe that will be an easy adjustment for this kid. |
|
After
two years in a row of three players from my "draft value
list", last year the Broncos only grabbed one (Crowder)
and go their lowest draft grade from me since I started
grading drafts in 2002. This year they are back to three
and since they are a round six player, a round seven player,
and a free agent, you know I am going to love the late value
the Broncos stole in this draft. In fact, my only
question in this draft, which is a minor point, is that Royal
is a true slot receiver (albeit a good one), and the Broncos
need a reliable #2. Stokely is also best served in the
slot, and I don't have faith in Jackson as a consistent #2
receiver (too many drops that kill drives). Therefore,
Hawkins would have been my pick. He is going to be a
very good starter in the NFL. However, Royal will be a
force in the offense from the slot after he adjusts to the
NFL.
DRAFT
PICKS
For
some reason Clady went from the logical option for Kansas City
at number five after Long was off the board to behind Albert,
to falling out of the top ten. Lucky Broncos.
Clady is an athletic left6 tackle who is immediately a much
better option than Ryan Harris and could end up the best left
tackle to come out of this draft in the long run.
Royal
is fast, makes sharp cuts, knows how to get open and is an
elusive receiver. Even though he lacks size and bulk he
has good strength so will be able to get off the line.
Before getting too excited know that the most catches he had
in a year at Virginia Tech was 33 and the most yards 497.
His upside is as a top slot receiver.
Lichtensteiger
is Nalen's heir apparent. In the meantime he can also
fill in at guard if needed. He held his own during the
Senior Bowl when he had to step up against tougher competition
than he faced at Bowling Green.
Jack
Williams is an interesting player. While on the small
size he is built very compactly, has good strength and
terrific speed. He is also a great athlete and has
top-end change of direction skills. At corner he shows
good cover skills and has a nose for the ball.
Personally, I would like to see him add 10 to 15 pounds and
move to free safety where he could be a special player if he
can maintain his speed and agility at that weight. His
strength/change-of-direction/ball skills fit perfectly there.
Denver
drafts a running back in round five and he immediately becomes
a "sleeper" on hundreds of fantasy football sites.
Before getting too excited remember that he is coming off
Lisfranc surgery and you may not see what he can really do
until 2009 (assuming he makes it all the way). When
healthy he has the skill set to do well in Denver's zone
blocking system.
Powell
is an undersized, athletic defensive tackle who could help in
the nickel and provide depth.
Larsen
is the first of three players from my "draft value
list". Larsen is plain and simple, a football
player. His size indicates he should play in the middle
in a 4-3, his measureables are more in line to play inside in
a 3-4. Larsen is a strong, instinctive kid with more
quickness than you think. It wouldn't surprise me if he
winds up as Denver's starting middle linebacker at some point
during 2008.
Josh
Barrett in round seven is an out-and-out steal. This kid
was my number one rated strong safety. He's big, can
hit, and has rare speed for a strong safety. Some
question his ability to learn complex systems, He thinks
too much and doesn't play instinctively. However, give
him some time and you could have an in-the-box presence like
Roy Williams, with Bob Sanders speed. Worst case Denver
has a monster special teams player.
Peyton
Hillis is the ideal west coast fullback. He is an
excellent receiver with good size, strength and speed.
He was my top-rated fullback. He also blocked for two
first round picks in this draft (McFadden and Jones).
COLLEGE
STREET FREE AGENTS
Alridge
is a Darren-Sproles type of player. He is fast, quick,
cuts on a dime and is an explosive athlete. He also
catches the ball very well and can line up in the slot or out
wide and run patterns down the field. He is also a good
return man. However, un-like Sproles who is short,
Alridge is small. Alridge is an intriguing signing who
could play dividends as a spot player if Denver can afford a
spot for him on their roster.
Polumbus
is the type of athletic tackle that Denver prefers. He
is a big man who should, at worst, be a practice squad member.
Sam
is a one-dimensional, big, strong receiver. He has his
work cut out for him to make the roster.
Hartley
will get a look in camp because of the Elam defection.
Kern
is an underrated punter. He has a real chance to win the
job in preseason.
Woodyard
was one of the best free agent signings by any team.
This kid is an active player who has good speed and quickness.
He is undersized which caused him to fall out of the draft.
Certainly he didn't fall out of the draft because he is
over-aggressive which causes him to miss some tackles because
that is coachable. Woodyard will be a special teams
staple and could force his way onto the field on defense down
the line. This kid isn't NFL-starter-ready now, but
could be a solid weakside "tackle-hound" linebacker
in the future.
|
red
indicates workout number in top range at position in draft
(blue
college name indicates workout #'s include Pro Day numbers)
COMBINE
YES |
FIRST
NAME |
SCHOOL |
HEIGHT |
WEIGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT |
LONG |
3
CONE |
VERT |
BROAD |
| Clady |
Ryan |
BOISE
ST |
6'6.1" |
309 |
24 |
5.18 |
1.81 |
2.96 |
4.73 |
NA |
7.44 |
31" |
9'0" |
| Royal |
Eddie |
VIRG
TECH |
5'9.5" |
184 |
24 |
4.39 |
1.48 |
2.55 |
4.34 |
11.66 |
7.07 |
36" |
10'4" |
| Lichtensteiger |
Kory |
BOWL
GREEN |
6'2.2" |
298 |
NA |
5.19 |
1.84 |
3.04 |
4.56 |
NA |
7.60 |
23" |
8'8" |
| Williams |
Jack |
KENT
STATE |
5'9" |
180 |
19 |
4.32 |
1.46 |
2.51 |
4.34 |
NA |
6.61 |
41" |
10'6" |
| Torain |
Ryan |
ARIZONA
ST |
6'0.3" |
222 |
21 |
4.51 |
1.54 |
2.58 |
NA |
NA |
NA |
34" |
10'0" |
| Powell |
Carlton |
VIRG
TECH |
6'2" |
292 |
25 |
5.00 |
1.65 |
2.90 |
4.62 |
NA |
7.64 |
27.5" |
9'0" |
| Larsen |
Spencer |
ARIZONA |
6'1.6" |
238 |
27 |
4.82 |
1.64 |
2.78 |
4.29 |
NA |
7.37 |
33.5" |
9'8" |
| Barrett |
Josh |
ARIZONA
ST |
6'1.6" |
223 |
17 |
4.33 |
1.50 |
2.50 |
4.27 |
NA |
7.07 |
31.5" |
10'1" |
| Hillis |
Peyton |
ARKANSAS |
6'0'6" |
240 |
26 |
4.57 |
1.66 |
2.68 |
4.24 |
NA |
7.15 |
35" |
9'9" |
| Alridge |
Anthony |
HOUSTON |
5'9" |
170 |
NA |
4.33 |
1.45 |
2.50 |
NA |
NA |
6.88 |
34.5" |
11'2" |
| Polumbus |
Tyler |
COLORADO |
6'7.4" |
314 |
24 |
5.13 |
1.78 |
2.90 |
4.83 |
NA |
7.59 |
33" |
9'4" |
| Sam |
Loren |
UTEP |
6'3.2" |
220 |
23 |
4.59 |
1.61 |
2.72 |
4.35 |
11.38 |
7.11 |
33" |
10'2" |
| Woodyard |
Wesley |
KENTUCKY |
6'0.3" |
227 |
NA |
4.49 |
1.52 |
2.58 |
4.25 |
11.46 |
7.15 |
30" |
9'10" |
2008 NEEDS
PRIOR TO DRAFT AND FREE AGENCY
DEN
Major
Need Need
Upgrade Depth
Need Not
a Need
| QB |
Cutler
appears on his way to being a very a good NFL quarterback.
Ramsey, a former number, has starting experience and is a
solid backup. Hackney is fine as #3, but competition
could be brought in for that spot. |
| RB |
If
a player the Broncos believe can be a full time
difference-maker falls into their lap, they will gladly add
that player. Otherwise, Young and Hall are coming back,
and Henry will be given a shot again if he comes back at the
right price. Bell, was moved to fullback, but had good
moments two years ago and could get another shot at tailback
if needed. |
| WR |
Walker
wants out and if the Broncos grant him his wish they will need
a starter opposite star receiver Marshall. Stokley is a
solid #3 but has had trouble staying on the field throughout
his career. Martinez could fill in for Stokley if
needed, but other options could be explored as well. |
| TE |
Very
strong and deep unit. Graham is the blocker, Scheffler
is the pass catcher. Both are very good at their
trades. Jackson has the look of a good receiving
tight end as well. |
| OL |
With
Lepsis retiring, the Broncos need a tackle. If possible,
a starting left tackle. If not, a player who can
challenge on the right side. With Hamilton and Nalen
coming back, the Broncos have good depth inside. Harris,
a player with some question marks, is currently the team's
first tackle off the bench. |
| DL |
Despite
not liking the Broncos' selection of Moss in round one last
season, I like the young talent the Broncos are accumulating
on their line. I loved the selection of Crowder and said
he would be a better player for Denver than Moss, especially
since Dumervil has similar skills to Moss and is proven.
Crowder, Dumervil and Thomas are three young players who will
only get better. McKinley and Engleberger are reliable,
but unspectacular veterans. Another young tackle and
possible upgrades on the bench are the needs here. |
| LB |
I
thought the Broncos would give up on the Williams in the
middle move early in the season. The didn't, and he
played well at times, but the Broncos would be much better
served with him outside and bringing in a stud for the middle.
Gold didn't play as well in his second stint with Denver as
did the first time and Webster is an okay, but replaceable
starter. The Broncos like what they saw in Winborn at
the end of the year, but he has flashed sic skills in the past
but has never held onto a starting job long term. |
| DB |
The
Broncos have as solid a foursome at corner as any team in the
league (Bailey, Bly, Foxworth and Paymah). At safety,
Abdullah had some good moments and some not so good moments,
but he is young and has potential. There is a question
as to whether Lynch will be back. He still plays well,
but a younger, faster safety could be tempting. Look for
the Broncos to bring in a safety whether or not Lynch comes
back to compete with Lynch and Ferguson who is returning from
injury. |
| ST |
Elam
is a free agent, the punting situation is a mess, and the
return game is in capable hands, but a game-breaker would be
an upgrade. |
2007
DRAFT PICKS
links go to
NFL.com website
| Rd |
Sel# |
Player |
Pos. |
Ht. |
Wt. |
School |
Jay's ranking |
Jay's draft value |
| 1 |
17 |
Moss,
Jarvis |
DE |
6-6 |
251 |
Florida |
#6 DE |
Round 2 |
| 2 |
56 |
Crowder,
Tim |
DE |
6-4 |
271 |
Texas |
#7 DE |
Round 2 |
| 3 |
70 |
Harris,
Ryan |
OT |
6-5 |
299 |
Notre
Dame |
#11 OT |
Round 4 |
| 4 |
121 |
Thomas,
Marcus |
DT |
6-3 |
296 |
Florida |
#6 DT |
Round 3 |
| FA |
|
Fenton, Mark |
C |
6-4 |
290 |
Colorado |
|
Late Round Value |
| FA |
|
Harris, Steven |
DT |
6-4 |
282 |
Florida |
|
Off My Board |
| FA |
|
Rogers, Roderick |
FS |
6-1 |
189 |
Wisconsin |
|
Late Round Value |
| FA |
|
Young, Selvin |
RB |
5-11 |
207 |
Texas |
|
Late Round Value |
|
The
Broncos reached a bit for Moss in round one, but got intriguing
players in rounds two and four. Since they did most of
their work prior to the draft, they didn't have a large number
of needs which is reflected in the small number of college
street free agents signed. However, a linebacker (lost Al
Wilson, moving D.J. Williams to the middle and former Seahawk
Lewis has not been able to stay healthy and Holdman's best days
may be behind him) and a return man would have been nice
additions, even if they signed quality college street free
agents to compete for spots.
For
the second year in a row I had the Bronco's first round
selection identified correctly in my mock draft, and both times
they traded up to make the pick. Both times the Broncos
had the player they selected rated higher than me. Last
year, however, I felt the trade up was a good move because if a
team believes strongly in a first round quarterback, making a
bold move to get that player is the right thing to do.
This year, however, I'm not sure the Broncos needed to make the
trade to get Moss. Even if they lost him, Spencer would
have been a good alternative option. In addition, Beason,
or even better, Posluszny could have been taken in round one if
the Broncos did not like Spencer. I was in the minority in
having a second round grade on Moss, which is why I had him
going in round one in my mock draft. When I rank players
it is all about probability. With Moss showing only
average quickness and only lifting the bar 16 times in workouts,
red flags came up for me. He didn't play the run all that
well in college and his workout shows why. He will need to
bulk up and get stronger if he is going to be dominate versus
the run. While he has the frame to to this, what
will be the impact on his quickness if he does, and how will
that impact his pass rushing ability? This does not mean
that Moss will not be a top NFL player. It just makes it
more likely he will be a one dimensional pass rushing defensive
end than a dominate end who can play the run and the pass.
Hence my second round grade. On the other hand, Crowder is
a player I like a lot. I had a second round grade on him,
and had a higher opinion of his NFL future than many other draft
analysts. Crowder had more sacks than Moss last year, has
similar speed, better quickness, and is much stronger. He
should develop into an excellent two-way end, one who can stop
the run and rush the passer. Harris is an example of a
player who fell during the post-season. He got beat often
during at Senior Bowl practices. However, he has the quick
feet the Broncos' like in offensive lineman, and could develop
into a solid right tackle. Thomas is a run stuffing
defensive tackle who can occupy blockers and play off blocks to
make tackles. Well, he can do that as long as he isn't
high. The concerns about Thomas are not on the field; they
are off the field.
The
Broncos didn't sign many college street free agents.
However, they did add a few worth mentioning. Fenton is a
center I thought could fall out of the draft because he is
coming off a leg injury. However, he is a tough kid with
good quickness and athleticism, and is a candidate for the
Broncos' development squad. He could contribute down the
line. Harris was off my board because he didn't have a
notable college career, and he is light for a defensive tackle.
However, at times he was unblockable at East West Shrine Game
practices and is worth a look in camp. Rogers is another
player whose draft status was hurt by injuries. He is a
smart free safety with a nose for the ball. He could
surprise at a deep position. Young is a tough kid who
could do well in the zone blocking scheme. However, he
does lack top end speed. Two college street free agents
the Broncos could have used in free agency were Sam Olajubutu an
undersized linebacker who is just plain and simply a football
player, and Mike Mason a speedy receiver who can return punts
and kicks.
|
red
indicates workout number in top range at position in draft
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| MOSS |
JARVIS |
FLORIDA |
DE/LB |
6'6.4" |
250 |
16 |
4.70 |
1.52 |
2.68 |
4.41 |
|
7.21 |
30.5" |
10'0" |
| Moss
is a very good pass rusher but he will have to add bulk and
strength to be effective against the run, and is not quick
enough to be a stud as an OLB in a 3-4. He may get
over-drafted but will be effective as a pass rushing defensive
end. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| CROWDER |
TIM |
TEXAS-AUSTIN |
DE |
6'3.5" |
272 |
32 |
4.69 |
1.59 |
2.71 |
4.32 |
|
7.28 |
30.5" |
9'3" |
|
PLAYER
WHO COULD HAVE A BETTER NFL CAREER THAN PLAYERS SELECTED AHEAD
OF HIM in the DRAFT
|
| I'm
tired of hearing how Crowder is an underachiever. He did
have 10.5 sacks his senior year. This is a kid who got by
in college on his athleticism. He will need coaching, but
he has the skills to be an excellent two-way (run and pass) end
in the NFL. I predict he will go in round two (where I
have him graded - higher than many others). Then some draft
talking head will say it was a reach because while he has great
tools he doesn't play to his talent; but that talking head will
be proved wrong in long run. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| HARRIS |
RYAN |
NOTRE
DAME |
OT |
6'4.4" |
305 |
25 |
5.09 |
1.75 |
2.96 |
4.52 |
|
7.78 |
25.5" |
8'4" |
| Harris
started the post-season as one of the potential top left tackles
in the draft and ended the post season as an afterthought as a
right tackle. However, he has the skill set and quick feet
to succeed as right tackle in the NFL. He will need some
work on his technique and has to become more consistent. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| THOMAS |
MARCUS |
FLORIDA |
DT/NT |
6'2.6" |
314 |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Thomas
comes into the NFL with serious off the field concerns. He
has the "Ricky Williams up in smoke" disease. On
the field Thomas is a run-stuffing defensive tackle who can
engage blockers so linebackers can make tackles, and can
disengage from blockers to make tackles. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| FENTON |
MARK |
COLORADO |
OC |
6'4.2" |
290 |
22 |
|
|
|
4.90 |
|
7.92 |
36" |
8'8" |
| Fenton
is a tough guy who has good quickness and athleticism for the
position. Coming off a leg injury, he could get lost on
draft day, however; he could develop into a quality reserve and
possibly even a solid starter. |
|
COMBINE
NO
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| HARRIS |
STEVEN |
FLORIDA |
DT |
6'3.7" |
282 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Harris
popped at the East West Shrine All Star Game practices. He
showed excellent technique and good quickness. However,
his college career was not great and he is a bit light for a
defensive tackle, although he has the build to add weight. |
|
COMBINE
NO
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| ROGERS |
RODERICK |
WISCONSIN |
FS |
6'0.7" |
189 |
14 |
4.47 |
1.52 |
2.55 |
4.25 |
|
7.05 |
35.5" |
9.9" |
| Rogers
is a heady free safety with a nose for the ball.
Post-season injuries may hamper his draft status and impact his
workout numbers. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| YOUNG |
SELVIN |
TEXAS-AUSTIN |
RB
|
5'11.1" |
207 |
|
4.58 |
1.56 |
2.65 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Young
is a tough kid who gets banged up a lot, but plays with
injuries. While he lacks top end speed, Young could stick
as a change of pace back. |
2007
TEAM NEEDS PRIOR TO THE DRAFT and FREE AGENCY
major
need
need
depth/possible
need
not a significant need
| QB |
With
Plummer likely gone, a backup for Cutler |
| RB |
If
T Bell was the answer he would have had the job full time by
now. M Bell is a solid backup. |
| WR |
Walker
and Marshall will be a top tandem for years. Smith is a
solid #3 now, but a young player should be added. |
| TE |
Scheffler
looked good. Alexander can block. |
| OL |
Carlisle
is an UFA. His replacement may be on the roster (Kuper,
Meyers) but another body should be added. |
| DL |
This
unit can use a make-over. Ekuban and Warren could stick,
and Dumervil as a situational guy. |
| LB |
Burns,
a key backup, is an UFA. The starters are fine but backups are
needed. |
| DB |
Time
for Paymah to match the success of Williams and Foxworth.
A young CB and S should be added. |
| ST |
The
Broncos need a good return man. |
2006
DRAFT PICKS
Links go to write-ups at NFL.com
| Denver |
| Rd |
Sel# |
Player |
Pos. |
Ht. |
Wt. |
School |
Jay's
ranking |
Jay's
draft value |
| 1 |
11 |
Cutler,
Jay |
QB |
6-3 |
225 |
Vanderbilt |
#
3 QB |
Round
1 |
| 2 |
| |