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2009draft
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draft
2009
DRAFT PICKS
links go to
NFL.com website
| Rd |
Sel# |
Player |
Pos. |
School |
Jay's
ranking |
Jay's
draft value |
| 1 |
11 |
Aaron
Maybin |
DE |
Penn
State |
#3
DE, #2 OLB |
Round
1 |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher than
him. |
There
is debate about Maybin. Some have him as a second-half of
the first round prospect, others as a top-ten prospect.
Put me in the top ten category. Maybin will be a very good
pass-rushing outside linebacker in a 3-4 defense. He is
fast and an explosive athlete. |
| 1 |
28 |
Eric
Wood |
OC |
Louisville |
#1
OC |
Round
2 |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
| Wood
did not fair well in one-on-one drills, but Mayock who
likes him, expected that to happen. Wood did jump
out with a nice block during a run in the 11 on 11's. |
|
ONE
ON ONE BLOCKING DRILLS SCORED BY JAY GOLDBERG |
| 2
- 6 |
Moala
1-1 Jerry 0-2 Irvin 1-1
Ayers 0-2 |
|
|
Senior
Bowl Game |
Wood
did not look great in the one-on-one's in practice. NFL
Network analyst Mike Mayock said one-on-one's wouldn't be his
forte but he is great in games. Mayock was right.
Wood looked very good in the game. He looked good
run blocking straight ahead, he looked good pulling, and was
solid in pass protection as well. |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher than
him. |
The
top center on most boards early was Mack, and more recently was
Unger. Wood is the top center on my board. Wood is
not someone who excels in drills, however, he is terrific in
games. For instance, Wood played a superb Senior Bowl Game
blocking well sealing off holes for runners, leading runner thru
holes and pass blocking. Wood is very strong, has good
speed for a 300 pound guy and has quick feet. |
| 2 |
42 |
Jairus
Byrd |
CB/FS |
Oregon |
#11
CB |
Round
3 |
| 2 |
51 |
Andy
Levitre |
OG |
Oregon
State |
#5
OG |
Round
3 |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
| Levitre
looked a bit overmatched during the one-on-one drills. |
|
ONE
ON ONE BLOCKING DRILLS SCORED BY JAY GOLDBERG |
| 4
- 10 |
Jamison
1-3 Hood 0-1 King 0-1
McGee 1-1 Raji 0-2 Davis 2-2 |
|
| 4 |
121 |
Shawn
Nelson |
TE |
Southern
Miss |
#1
TE |
Round
2 |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
| Nelson
had a great week of practice but finally showed he was
human. He blocked better in pass protection than he
did in the run game, and after catching everything in
sight finally had a drop. He is a good
receiver and showed promise as a blocker. |
|
ONE
ON ONE BLOCKING DRILLS SCORED BY JAY GOLDBERG |
| 6
- 3 |
Matthews
3-0 Maualuga 2-0 Beckwith 0-1 Palmer
1-1 Cushing 0-2 |
|
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher than
him. |
I
know I'm not alone in praising Nelson's skills, however, it is
deserved. I am the only one (or one of the only ones) that
has Nelson on the top of his tight end board. The
kid can catch, has the speed to get open down field, and blocked
better than I expected during Senior Bowl one-on-one blocking
drills. He did look more advanced blocking in pass
protection rather than run blocking. |
| 5 |
147 |
Nic
Harris |
OLB |
Oklahoma |
NR |
Late
Round Value |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
Moving
from safety to linebacker, he did okay in pass coverage against
running backs, but was not consistent. Not enough face
time to make any other observations. |
| 6 |
183 |
Cary
Harris |
CB |
Southern
Cal |
#26
CB |
Round
5 |
| 7 |
220 |
Ellis
Lankster |
CB/S |
West
Virginia |
#16
CB |
Round
4 |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
Lankster
came on as the week progressed. He started uneven but
showed good coverage including playing up in man coverage both
in the one-on-one's and 11 on 11's. |
|
Senior
Bowl Game |
Lankster
had a very interesting game. He had two of the better
plays in the game. One was great coverage and a terrific
interception, the other was a great play coming up to stop a run
where he was very physical. Other than those two plays he
was okay in pass coverage except for a play at the end of the
second quarter where he let a receiver beat him deep when he
made a bad decision to jump a route. |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher than
him. |
Lankster
had some great moments in the post-season and some okay
moments. He started a bit slowly during Senior Bowl week,
but came on strongly, showing the ability to play well both in
press and off coverage during one-on-one drills during
practice. During the Senior Bowl Game, Lankster made two
of the better plays. One was great coverage and a terrific
interception, the other was a great play coming up to stop a run
where he was very physical. Other than those two plays he
was okay in pass coverage except for a play at the end of the
second quarter where he let a receiver beat him deep when he
made a bad decision to jump a route. All-in-all I like
Lankster and expect him to be an important contributor on a
team's defense, whether in the base defense; or nickel or dime
packages is to be determined. |
| FA |
---- |
Joel
Bell |
OT |
Furman |
#10
OT |
Round
3 |
|
Player
who will have a better NFL career than many drafted higher than
him. |
Bell
played at a top level throughout his career at Fruman. At
times things came easy for him so on tape he shows some signs of
sloppy play, but I do not believe that will be a problem in the
NFL. Bell has a great combination of size, quick feet and
athleticism and is a good developmental player. |
| FA |
---- |
Nick
Hennessey |
OT |
Colgate |
NR |
Late
Round Value |
| FA |
---- |
Travis
McCall |
TE/FB |
Alabama |
NR |
7th/FA |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
| Didn't
block well in the one-on-one's, but I caught a good block
on a run play in the 11 on 11's. He also had a drop |
|
ONE
ON ONE BLOCKING DRILLS SCORED BY JAY GOLDBERG |
| 0
- 6 |
R
Johnson 0-1 Beckwith 0-1 Palmer
0-3 Matthews 0-1 |
|
| FA |
---- |
Ashlee
Palmer |
OLB |
Mississippi |
NR |
Late
Round Value |
|
Senior
Bowl practice comment |
| Palmer
showed excellent blitz skills and even played off a Nelson
block on a running play during one-on-one drills. |
|
ONE
ON ONE BLOCKING DRILLS SCORED BY JAY GOLDBERG |
| 6
- 3 |
Hill
0-1 Jennings
1-1 McCall
3-0 Brown 1-0 Nelson 1-1 |
|
| FA |
---- |
Lydell
Sargeant |
CB |
Penn
State |
NR |
7th/FA |
|
B+
|
2009
COLLEGE DRAFT REPORT CARD
|
by
Jay Goldberg
|
|
For
a team that drafted three players on my "will have better
NFL careers than many drafted higher than them in the
draft" and signed a fourth as a college street free
agent, a B+ seems low. That is because of some missed
opportunities (I.M.O.) that could have made this draft one of
the best ever based on talent brought in and need. Read
on
DRAFT
PICKS
Maybin
is a tremendous pass rusher, maybe the best in the draft, but
I had him projected as a 3-4 outside linebacker, not a
defensive end. As an end he is light and may have
trouble holding the point of attack against the run. He
may, however, be fine. Look at the Colts' Robert Mathis
as an example of how he could be used. While Maybin may
be the better pass rusher, as a three-down end, I thought
Orakpo had more upside.
Wood
was my top rated inside offensive lineman in the draft.
He really impressed me during the Senior Bowl Game. Wood is
strong and has quick feet. He will be a fixture at center
for the Bills for a long time. He was a great pick and
will be a top NFL player.
While
I had Byrd with a third round grade at corner, the grade was
based on him settling in long term at free safety. If
the Bills are looking at him as a free safety, I can't argue
the selection. However, as a corner he lacks speed and
could give up big plays. At corner, I like Sean Smith
and Kennan Lewis better at this spot. However, my selection
would have been William Beatty, a player I project to be a
solid to top left tackle down the line.
Here
is where I had my first disagreement with the Bills
draft. Most scouts had Levitre as their top guard.
Not me. First, he is projection to guard from
tackle. Second, he looked overmatched at guard during
the one-on-one drills at the Senior Bowl. Now he did
show quick feet during the workouts, so I only dropped him to
a third round value (my rankings are based on probability of
success and the Senior Bowl practice flag was just too great
for me to give him a higher grade). The top guard on my
board was Urbik, who was scooped up by the Steelers at pick
#79 in round three. Therefore, Buffalo could have
avoided trading up and drafted Urbik with their original pick
in round three (#75). If the draft went my way up to
this point the Bills would have Orakpo, Wood, Beatty and Urbik
instead of Maybin, Wood, Byrd, and Levitre. But my
massaging of the Bills draft will not end here.
Shawn
Nelson in round four was one of the biggest steals in the
draft. T.O. must be very excited that the Bills drafted
him his Jason Witten. By the way, comparisons of
Pettigrew to Witten are unfounded. He is nowhere near as
fast or athletic. It is Nelson who has the best chance
to be the next Jason Witten because not only is he fast and
have excellent hands, but of all the receiving tight ends in
the draft he has shown the best potential to develop into a
solid blocker. Oh, Bills fans, I have the perfect
question a reporter needs to ask T.O. so you can get a feel
for whether or not T.O. will make it through the year without
a blowing up the team. The question is: Since very early
in your career you have been the number one receiver on every
team you have been with. How will you handle clearly
being the number two receiver behind Lee Evans on the
Bills? I would love to hear T.O.'s response to that one
(ego, two # ones on team, or defer tyo Evans). Oh, and
if someone asks this question, I would appreciate the plug for
suggesting it.
Now
for my second disagreement with the Bills draft. Nic
Harris is a smart football player and will help on special
teams. However, his upside is limited and he will never
be a starter that the team relies on long term. However,
Marcus Freeman is such a guy and was, surprisingly (at least
to me) was available at this spot. Freeman could have
come in and challenged to start at WILL from day one. In
fact I predict that Freeman will develop into a good starting
linebacker in the NFL. Harris will be a quality
reserve. Another option at this spot, if the Bills
drafted Beatty instead of Byrd and wanted a corner, was Victor
Macho Harris, a player I have more-highly rated than Bryd as a
cornerback.
Cary
Harris is a corner with some size who could have a tough time
making the team. A corner with some size who I liked
better was Mike Mickens, although drafting Harris here was
fine.
Lankster
is a kid I like a lot better than most. I had a fourth
round grade on him. He is a playmaker who can cover and
isn't afraid to hit. I see him as a long-term,
high-quality nickel or dime back who can step in and hold the
fort well if a starter gets hurt. He could also play
free safety and is a good return man. Lankster was an
exceptional seventh round pick.
COLLEGE
STREET FREE AGENTS
The
combination of the accumulation of some excellent football
players and missed opportunities made the Bills draft a
difficult one to grade. However, signing undrafted free
agent Joel Bell was an excellent course correction. Bell
was one of the top undrafted players available, and plays a
position of need for the Bills. If a team drafted Bell
in round three I wouldn't have batted an eye, and in fact, may
have said good move if the team was grooming a left
tackle. Bell is strong, has quick feet, is athletic, has
good size and played very well at Furman. He isn't
NFL-ready yet, but will be. He won't replace Peters this
year, but has a real shot to be that guy down the line. Hennessey
could offer the Bills a versatile backup. He could
backup right tackle, and, if he adds some bulk, he has the
quickness to be a backup at guard as well. He may need a
year on the practice squad to get bigger. McCall
is a slow tight end who has reasonable, but not great hands,
and disappointed as an in-line blocker at Senior Bowl
Practices. So why did he make my draft board? Good
question. McCall could stick in the NFL as a
fullback. While he didn't block well on the line he
could be fine as a 276-pound lead blocker, who can also catch
some passes. However, he will have his hands full
trying to make this team. Palmer
garnered some attention during Senior Bowl Practices, although
most must have occurred off camera because
he didn't jump out that much for me. That said, Palmer
could be a plus special teams player and a decent backup
linebacker. The
Bills doubled-up on the slower, taller corner (Byrd and
Harris) and now on the shorter, faster corner (Lankster and
Sargeant). While Sargeant has some skills, it will be
difficult for him to beat out Lankster. He could,
however, wind up on the Bills' practice squad. |
For
chart below: red indicates workout number in top range at position in
draft
ARM-HAND
relative to position, for ranges see ranking pages for 2009 draft
LAST
NAME
at Combine |
FIRST
NAME |
SCHOOL |
HGT |
WGT |
ARM-
HAND |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT |
LONG |
3
CONE |
VERT |
BROAD |
| Maybin |
Aaron |
Penn
State |
6'3.6" |
252 |
XL-L |
22 |
4.59 |
1.57 |
2.74 |
4.38 |
- |
7.50 |
40" |
10'10" |
| Wood |
Eric |
Louisville |
6'3.7" |
310 |
M-L |
30 |
5.17 |
1.68 |
2.84 |
4.51 |
- |
7.56 |
30.5" |
8'3" |
| Byrd |
Jarius |
Oregon |
5'10" |
207 |
L-XL |
15 |
4.68 |
1.53 |
2.68 |
4.10 |
- |
6.75 |
35" |
- |
| Levitre |
Andy |
Oregon
St |
6'2.5" |
305 |
S-M |
23 |
5.26 |
1.78 |
3.03 |
4.52 |
- |
7.67 |
30.5" |
8'7" |
| Nelson |
Shawn |
Southern
Miss |
6'5" |
240 |
XL-L |
19 |
4.52 |
1.50 |
2.62 |
- |
- |
6.96 |
33" |
9'7" |
| Harris |
Nic |
Oklahoma |
6'2.3" |
234 |
L-XL |
15 |
4.83 |
1.66 |
2.82 |
4.23 |
- |
7.00 |
31.5" |
9'1" |
| Harris |
Cary |
USC |
5'11.3" |
187 |
XL-M |
18 |
4.58 |
1.64 |
2.78 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Lankster |
Ellis |
West
Virginia |
5'9.1" |
191 |
- |
- |
4.42 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Bell |
Joel |
Furman |
6'6.7" |
315 |
L-L |
29 |
5.07 |
1.69 |
3.00 |
4.57 |
- |
7.55 |
30" |
9'1" |
| Hennessey |
Nick |
Colgate |
6'5.6" |
292 |
- |
21 |
5.24 |
1.77 |
3.02 |
4.50 |
- |
7.30 |
30" |
9'4' |
| McCall |
Travis |
Alabama |
6'1.5" |
276 |
- |
20 |
5.10 |
1.71 |
2.98 |
4.68 |
- |
7.63 |
28" |
- |
| Palmer |
Ashlee |
Mississippi |
6'1.4" |
223 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Lydell |
Sargeant |
Penn
State |
5'8.7" |
190 |
S-S |
15 |
4.48 |
1.52 |
2.56 |
4.20 |
- |
6.93 |
35" |
10'0" |
2009 NEEDS PRIOR TO DRAFT AND FREE
AGENCY
Major need
Need
Upgrade possible
Depth/possible need
Not a need
| QB |
I Like Edwards and
believe he will be a solid NFL starter, but then I thought I saw
something in Losman as well. In any case, Losman is an UFA
so the Bills need to address backup quarterback. A late
round pick on a young developmental quarterback could also be
added. |
| RB |
Lynch and Jackson (a RFA)
form a good one-two punch. Look for the Bills to draft a
young back on day two to compete with Omon for #3, and be in
place in case Jackson leaves in 2010. |
| WR |
Hardy was drafted to
start opposite Evans, who is a star, and he disappointed.
I wouldn't give up on him just yet; however, adding a veteran to
compete to start would be a good idea. Parrish is best
served as a returner/#4 and Reed as a #3. |
| TE |
With Evans always gaining
the attention of opposing defenses, and the Bills unable to find
a receiver to take advantage of that situation to play opposite
Evans; a tight end who could get open down the seam in the
middle of the field would be a Godsend to young Mr. Edwards.
The catch here is that the Bills need a tight end who can also
block since they use their tight end in the running game.
If the Bills don't select a tight end early, there is a young
kid who could "fit the bill" who could be available
day two in the draft (see my observations from the East West
Shrine Games). |
| OL |
The Bills gave up too
many sacks. The lack of a cohesive unit for the Bills
started with Peters' holdout. With Preston and Fowler UFAs,
the Bills will need to address center in the offseason.
They could also look to bring in some guards who could compete
to start. |
| DL |
The Bills addressed
defensive tackle before the 2008 season began and improved, but
still finished 22nd in the league against the run.
However, they have a bigger need at end. Schobel is a good
player but is coming off injury and none of their other players
are starting caliber. Kelsay, Denney and Ellis are best
served as backups. |
| LB |
The Bills linebacking
unit is solid and they will be fine with the players they have.
However, a dominate sideline to sideline WILL would make this
unit special. Crowell could have been the guy, but he got
injured and is now an UFA. |
| DB |
I think this unit could
become one of the best secondaries in the NFL next season.
I like their corners McKelvin and McGee a lot, and safety
Whitner is also top drawer. With these three cornerstones
in place, the Bills just need the finishing touches.
Simpson has been inconsistent, but I still like his skill set
and wouldn't give up on him yet. However, there is
usually good value at safety on day two of the draft and the
Bills should add one to their mix. At the nickel, Greer is
an UFA and I'm not sold on Corner so resigning Greer or adding a
corner is advisable. |
| ST |
The Bills' special teams
are a strength. |
2008
DRAFT PICKS
links go to
NFL.com website
| Rd |
Sel# |
Player |
Pos. |
Ht. |
Wt. |
School |
Jay's ranking |
Jay's draft value |
| 1 |
11 |
Leodis
McKelvin |
CB/RET |
5'10.2" |
190 |
Troy |
#1 CB |
Round 1 |
| 2 |
41 |
James
Hardy |
WR |
6'5.3" |
219 |
Indiana |
#5 WR |
Round 1/Round 2 |
| 3 |
72 |
Chris
Ellis |
DE |
6'4" |
263 |
Virg Tech |
#10 DE |
Round 3 |
| 4 |
114 |
Reggie
Corner |
CB |
5'9.3" |
180 |
Akron |
|
Late Round Value |
| 4 |
132 |
Derek
Fine |
TE |
6'2.4" |
251 |
Kansas |
|
Late Round Value |
| 5 |
147 |
Alvin
Bowen |
OLB |
6'.1.1" |
223 |
Iowa State |
|
Late Round
Value/Free Agent |
| 6 |
179 |
Xavier
Omon |
RB |
5'10.6" |
228 |
NW Mis St |
|
Late Round Value |
| 7 |
219 |
Demetrius
Bell |
OT |
6'5" |
303 |
NW St (LA) |
|
Late Round Value |
| 7 |
224 |
Steve
Johnson |
WR |
6'1.7" |
210 |
Kentucky |
|
Late Round Value |
| 7 |
251 |
Kennard
Cox |
CB/FS |
6'0" |
195 |
Pittsburgh |
|
Late Round
Value/Free Agent |
| FA |
|
Mike Viti |
FB |
5'9.1" |
242 |
Army |
|
Late Round
Value/Free Agent |
| FA |
|
Robert Felton |
OG |
6'3.5" |
315 |
Arkansas |
#8 OG |
Round 4/Round 5 |
| FA |
|
Terez McCray |
DT |
6'0'1" |
296 |
Miami |
|
Late Round Value |
|
The
Bills addressed their biggest needs with their first three
picks and they were all excellent picks. After pick #3,
however, the Bills draft board and mine went in different
directions. As much as I liked the Bills first three
picks, the rest of their draft left me scratching my head.
In free agency, guard Robert Felton was a good signing.
DRAFT
PICKS
McKelvin
was my top rated cornerback. He should start from day
one and be a top corner. McKelvin and Gholston are my
early picks to fight for the defensive rookie of the year
honors. McKelvin is a solid cover corner with speed,
quickness and athleticsm. He needs a better feel for
coming up with interceptions, but I believe that will happen
because he reads plays well and is almost always in a good
position to make a play on the ball. A great pick for
Buffalo.
From
all the receivers in this draft, Hardy was the ideal player to
slot opposite Evans. He had the best combination of
size, strength, speed, quickness and athletic ability of all
the taller receivers in the draft. He has had some
off-the-field issues (battery), but seems to have that part of
his life behind him. Hardy, however, doesn't always play
to his measureables, but I look for that to change in the NFL.
Hardy is just what Evans and Edwards wanted.
Ellis
is a speed rusher some projected to outside linebacker in a
3-4 defense. However, he lacks the quickness and
athleticism for that position. He is best suited as a
4-3 end, who starts off as a pass rusher in the nickel and
could develop into a starter down the line. With Ellis
on board, Kelsay may now be a two-down player with Ellis
replacing him on obvious passing downs.
Reggie
Corner went higher than I had him graded. He is a
smallish, quick corner who can cover slot receivers. At
corner, I liked Jack Williams who went 5 slots later better.
I also liked TE Tamme at this spot.
Fine
is a short, quick tight end without long speed. He is
more of a short area receiver than a blocker. As such, I
would have grabbed Tamme at the previous spot and CB Bowman or
Scandrick here. Worst case, I like Barnidge as a
receiver more than Fine. He has better size and speed
and is also quick like Fine.
Bowen
is another player the Bills liked more than me. He is
small linebacker without great speed or quickness. Gary
Guyton, who went undrafted, is a better fit as an undersized
linebacker. He is very athletic, fast, quick and a sure
tackler. Guyton not being drafted was one of the biggest
mysteries in this draft for me.
Omon
was terrific in college. His skill set is best suited as
a short-yardage, goal-line back in the NFL. He has a
chance to win that role with the Bills. He could also be
cut or end up on their practice squad.
Bell
has good size and is a good athlete. However, he needs
lots of strength training. He is a candidate for the
Bills' practice squad.
Johnson
has decent speed and size. He will have his hands full
trying to make this team. Jabari Arthur, who was not
drafted is a player I like who may have been a better choice
at this spot.
Cox
has a terrific workout which got him drafted. He played
safety in college but has decent coverage skills. He has
a chance to be a good dime back.
COLLEGE
STREET FREE AGENTS
Viti
a a very strong kid who is a one dimensional blocking fullback
and the Bills do employ a blocking fullback in some of their
sets.
Felton
is an interesting free agent. He fell off the map with a
bad workout but was productive in school. He is
certainly worth a look in camp and could be a nice surprise.
McCray
is an athletic, smallish defensive tackle. However, with
the depth at this position, the most McCray can probably hope
for right now is a spot on the practice squad.
|
red
indicates workout number in top range at position in draft
(blue
college name indicates workout #'s include Pro Day numbers)
COMBINE
YES |
FIRST
NAME |
SCHOOL |
HEIGHT |
WEIGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT |
LONG |
3
CONE |
VERT |
BROAD |
| McKelvin |
Leodis |
TROY |
5'10.2" |
190 |
17 |
4.38 |
1.49 |
2.53 |
4.10 |
NA |
7.11 |
38.5" |
10'5" |
| Hardy |
James |
INDIANA |
6'5.3" |
219 |
18 |
4.47 |
1.56 |
2.58 |
4.20 |
NA |
6.84 |
37" |
10'5" |
| Ellis |
Chris |
VIRG
TECH |
6'4" |
263 |
22 |
4.71 |
1.56 |
2.76 |
4.65 |
NA |
7.64 |
30.5" |
9'1" |
| Corner |
Reggie |
AKRON |
5'9.3" |
190 |
15 |
4.49 |
1.56 |
2.58 |
4.03 |
NA |
6.87 |
36" |
10'0" |
| Fine |
Derek |
KANSAS |
6'2.4" |
251 |
24 |
4.84 |
1.65 |
2.78 |
4.19 |
NA |
6.80 |
33" |
9'7" |
| Bowen |
Alvin |
IOWA
ST |
6'1.1" |
223 |
15 |
4.70 |
1.59 |
2.74 |
4.30 |
NA |
7.10 |
35" |
9'11" |
| Omon |
Xavier |
N
W MIS ST |
5'10.6" |
228 |
17 |
4.59 |
1.54 |
2.61 |
4.29 |
NA |
6.91 |
38.5" |
9'7" |
| Bell |
Demetrius |
N
W ST (LA) |
6'5" |
303 |
10 |
5.18 |
1.72 |
3.00 |
4.65 |
NA |
7.65 |
33" |
9'3" |
| Johnson |
Steve |
KENTUCKY |
6'1.7" |
210 |
NA |
4.46 |
1.49 |
2.56 |
4.26 |
11.61 |
7.07 |
32.5" |
10'1" |
| Cox |
Kennard |
PITTSBURGH |
6'0" |
195 |
17 |
4.45 |
NA |
NA |
4.14 |
NA |
6.81 |
38" |
10'8" |
| Viti |
Mike |
ARMY |
5'9.1" |
242 |
34 |
4.86 |
1.72 |
2.86 |
4.60 |
NA |
7.37 |
31" |
8'7" |
| Felton |
Robert |
ARKANSAS |
6'3.5" |
315 |
22 |
5.28 |
1.78 |
3.01 |
4.84 |
NA |
7.91 |
23" |
8'2" |
| McCray |
Terez |
MIAMI |
6'1.1" |
296 |
27 |
5.08 |
1.71 |
2.94 |
NA |
NA |
NA |
29" |
NA |
2008 NEEDS
PRIOR TO DRAFT AND FREE AGENCY
BUF
Major
Need Need
Upgrade Depth
Need Not
a Need
| QB |
Edwards
is going to be a good one. Losman may be moved in the
offseason. An experienced backup would be a plus. |
| RB |
Young,
deep and talented. Lynch and Jackson are an excellent
one-two, and Wright has promise as well. |
| WR |
It's
time to get a real weapon to play opposite future star Lee
Evans. Reed and Parrish are fine options for the slot. A
big, physical receiver is needed. |
| TE |
Royal
and Gaines are serviceable. However, if the Bills can
bring in a tight end who can stretch the field and become a
focus of opposing team's defenses, it will only open up the
field for Evans. |
| OL |
An
improving unit that played well. If Whittle comes back
from injury he will be a valuable reserve. A young
center/guard could be added for depth as well as a backup
tackle to push Chambers. |
| DL |
The
Bills have waited long enough for Kelsay to become a pass
rushing force. He should be a #3 DE. Schobel,
would benefit playing opposite a player who teams need to pay
attention to. The Bills have young talent at defensive
tackle, but could use a massive run-stuffer to add to their
mix. |
| LB |
I
like the Bills linebackers. Crowell is proving to be a
soild tackle-hound. Posluszny should come back from
injury and be a good middle linebacker. Ellison is okay,
but has the physical skills to continue to develop.
DiGiorgio played surprisingly well after Posluszny got hurt.
What this team needs, however, is a pass rushing linebacker to
play in the nickel. |
| DB |
This
unit is a stud cornerback away from being one of the best
young secondaries in the league. Don't get me wrong,
Greer played well and the Bills will be fine with him
starting, but make him the nickel and pair a stud with McGee,
Whitner and Simpson (a player I loved in the draft who was a
steal for Buffalo) and the result would be something very
special. Leonard, Wilson, Webster, Wendling, Youboty,
and others are on hand to make this a deep unit for the Bills. |
| ST |
The
green rating comes only because the Bills might look at
bringing in a long-snapper to push Neill. Their kicking
and return games are in good hands. |
2007
DRAFT PICKS
links go to
NFL.com website
| Rd |
Sel# |
Player |
Pos. |
Ht. |
Wt. |
School |
Jay's ranking |
Jay's draft value |
| 1 |
12 |
Lynch,
Marshawn |
RB |
5-11 |
217 |
California |
# 2 RB |
Round 1 |
| 2 |
34 |
Posluszny,
Paul |
OLB |
6-1 |
237 |
Penn
State |
# 1 OLB |
Round 1 |
| 3 |
92 |
Edwards,
Trent |
QB |
6-3 |
222 |
Stanford |
# 4 QB |
Round 3 |
| 4 |
111 |
Wright,
Dwayne |
RB |
5-11 |
226 |
Fresno
State |
|
Late Round Value |
| 6 |
184 |
Wendling,
John |
FS |
6-1 |
222 |
Wyoming |
# 4 FS |
Round 2 |
| 7 |
222 |
Schouman,
Derek |
FB |
6-2 |
247 |
Boise
State |
|
Late Round Value |
| 7 |
239 |
Ah
You, C.J. |
DE |
6-4 |
274 |
Oklahoma |
#15 DE |
Round 4 |
| FA |
|
Coleman, Duane |
CB |
5-9 |
199 |
Clemson |
|
Late Round Value |
| FA |
|
Cornelius, Jemalle |
WR |
5-11 |
183 |
Florida |
|
Late Round Value |
| FA |
|
Hooper, Trevor |
FS |
6-0 |
208 |
Stanford |
|
Off My Board |
| FA |
|
Lewis, Reggie |
CB |
5-10 |
204 |
Florida |
|
Late Round Value |
| FA |
|
Mayle, Scott |
WR |
6-1 |
178 |
Ohio |
|
Off My Board |
| FA |
|
Quinn, Johnny |
WR |
6-0 |
200 |
North Texas |
|
Off My Board |
| FA |
|
Thomas, Stacey |
SS |
5-10 |
209 |
Texas Southern |
|
Late Round Value |
| FA |
|
Washington, Thad |
ILB |
5-11 |
250 |
Colorado |
|
Late Round Value |
|
The
Bills had a very good draft, however I would have liked to see
them come up with a quality wide receiver in this very deep wide
receiver draft. The Bills did reach a bit for Wright,
although others had him higher rated than I. They also
stole Wendling in round six, however, safety was not really a
need for the team. No college street free agents stand out
as outstanding signing, however a few have a chance to stick.
I
would have selected Lynch if I were the Bills GM even if Willis
was still available. That is not a knock on Willis, it is
just that Lynch and Posluszny are a better pair than Willis and
any of the running backs who were available at pick #34.
With the salary cap (limited funds per position) and free agency
(alternative way to collect talent), roster building is more
important in the draft than best player available in today's
NFL. Lynch will start from day one and should be a more
versatile back than McGahee, hmmm, let's not mince words, Lynch
will be a better NFL back than McGahee who is a bit overrated in
my humble opinion. Posluszny was another solid
selection for the Bills. I projected him as a WILL, but he
should handle the middle just fine in the Bills' scheme.
Edwards was too good a value for the Bills to pass up in round
three. Since cornerback Wade, and wide receiver Hill went
earlier in the round, there was no player at a need position
that was a must to draft. Edwards has a NFL starter skill
set. He will provide excellent depth behind Losman, and
could become a valuable commodity after he gets to show his
skills in preseason games for a couple of years. And, (shhh,
whispering)
he is just-in-case protection for Losman. The Wright pick
is where the Bills and I part company. First know that I
did not have Wright rated as highly as many other draft experts.
I question whether he will be able to transfer his running style
to the NFL because of his workout numbers. I know, I know,
now is the time the copycat talking heads will say it's what
they do on the field Jay, you idiot, not the workout that
counts. However, like it or not the draft is all
about numbers. More specifically, the draft is about
probability. And it is the numbers that help determine the
probability that a player can transfer his skills to the next
level. This is not an exact science. When a runner
is known not to have great speed (verified with a 4.68 forty),
but then runs a 4.43 short shuttle and 7.23 three cone,
indicating a lack of quickness and a lack of sharp cutting
ability, that indicates that what you saw on tape, strong, hard
runner, is all you get. However, when a player is
considered a strong, tough runner and lifts the bar only 14
times, that puts up a caution flag. The fact that he
didn't play in major conference against the biggest and
strongest may mean his strong running was a result of the
competition he played against, caution flag two. Finally,
he is coming off a knee injury, caution flag three. Does
it mean that Wright won't succeed, or even be a star, of course
not. But what it means to me is that with wide receivers
Allison and Clowney available at this spot, with Lynch already
selected and Wright having some caution flags (reducing the
probability he can transfer his skills to the NFL), I strongly
disagree with this pick. The Bills have a star receiver in
Evans, and need a legit threat opposite him to open things up
for him. Allison is a silky smooth receiver who could have
developed into a dangerous number two. Clowney, a player I
like even better, has terrific speed and, at worst, is a player
teams have to be aware of when he gets on the field.
Wendling was great value in round six. However, with the
youngsters Whitner and Simpson (I told you last year Bill fans
that I liked your draft and that these two would make an
excellent long term starting tandem), and the capab;le Leonard
behind them, he may find it difficult to get on the field.
Wendling was my fourth rated free safety in the draft. I had a
second round grade on him. However, while he is a much
better football player, cornerbacks Irons and Bennett would have
filled a need for depth at corner and were also good values
(fourth round value for Irons, third round value for Bennett) at
this spot. A tough call, but Wendling was such good value
I can't really argue. Schouman is a football player, plain
and simple. He is a perfect H-back who can also play some
fullback and some tight end. He is a tough kid who can
block and has excellent hands. Ah You was another excellent
value pick in round seven. I had a fourth round grade on
him as a player, but he comes with some character and injury
concerns. However, he has good size, strength,
athleticism, and quickness.
The
Bills did not sign any college street free agents that shout out
"steal" to me. Coleman is one of those tweener
corners, who have size limitations so they appear to be nickel
corners playing slot receivers, but who are more fast than quick
so they do not possess the best skill set for covering slot
receivers. Still, depth at corner is needed so Coleman
will get a look. Cornelius is a sure-handed receiver with
more speed than you think. He got overlooked in a deep
receiver draft and could fight for and win the last receiver
spot on the team. Hooper is an example of a kid who may
have selected the wrong team to try to make (assuming he had
better options of course). After selecting Wendling, there
may be no room at the Inn for another safety on the Bills active
roster. Hooper is a kid who played well his senior year
and may get consideration for the Bills' practice squad.
Lewis is a former receiver who has good quickness for a
cornerback. He could stick as a backup corner and special
teams player, and if not, since cornerback is still fairly new
to him, be a priority signing for the Bills' practice squad so
they can develop him further. Mayle is a track star
(including the long jump) who is fast, raw, but showed the
ability to catch the ball in college. He is another
possible developmental project for the Bills. Quinn is
another receive. Although he does not possess the speed of
Mayle, he is far more polished. He led his team in catches
and also returned punts and kicks for them. He should get
long look in camp. Thomas, an in-the-box strong safety, is
another player who could bock Hooper's chances for making the
Bills' roster. Thomas is strong with good speed and
quickness, loves to hit, and has a nose for the ball. He
was the SWAC defensive player of the year. If he proves he
can be a quality backup at strong safety, he could be a real
find because he will be a terror on special teams' coverage
units. Thomas is the best college street free agent
signing, however, four safety positions are already locked up
for the Bills. Washington is another quality free agent
signing. In much the same way that Bob Sanders of the
Colts is a short man, not a small man, Washington is a
5'10.6", 250 pound short middle linebacker. He hits
very hard and is a sure tackler. He has a chance to stick
as a backup and special teams player.
|
red
indicates workout number in top range at position in draft
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| LYNCH |
MARSHAWN |
CAL-BERKELEY |
RB
|
5'11.1" |
217 |
20 |
4.46 |
1.53 |
2.60 |
4.46 |
11.80 |
7.05 |
35.5" |
10'5" |
| Lynch
is a running back with no holes in his game. He can run
inside, run outside, catch, and block. Lynch runs tough so
he is the type of runner whose long runs will come later in
games after defenses are worn down. He is a franchise
back. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| POSLUSZNY |
PAUL |
PENN
ST |
OLB |
6'1.5" |
238 |
22 |
4.58 |
1.53 |
2.61 |
4.20 |
11.42 |
6.94 |
37" |
9'8" |
| Posluszny
is a sideline to sideline tacking machine. He had over 100
tackles in each of his last three years at Penn State.
While he has played both inside and outside, his best year came
as a WILL in a 4-3 defense. While he has enough strength
and quickness tom play in the middle, he will need to go to a
team that has tackles who engage blockers so he can roam free. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| EDWARDS |
TRENT |
STANFORD |
QB
|
6'4.1" |
231 |
19 |
4.74 |
1.65 |
2.67 |
4.46 |
|
7.14 |
|
|
| Edwards
is a smart, athletic quarterback, who could be much better in
the NFL than he was in college. Despite playing with
non-NFL level talent, Edwards still completed over 60% of his
passes his last two seasons. He could be a perfect fit for
a spread offense relying on the ability of the quarterback to
make quick reads. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| WRIGHT |
DWAYNE |
FRESNO
ST |
QB
|
5'11.4" |
228 |
14 |
4.68 |
1.62 |
2.71 |
4.43 |
|
7.23 |
34" |
9''7" |
| Wright
fought through injuries to have a stellar senior year at Fresno
State where he ran for almost 1,500 yards, caught 29 balls and
scored 12 touchdowns. Wright runs strong and is hard to
tackle. However, he lacks speed and quickness and will
have to hit the weight room if he is going to transfer his skill
set to the NFL. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| WENDLING |
JOHN |
WYOMING |
FS/SS |
6'1.2" |
222 |
22 |
4.48 |
1.51 |
2.56 |
4.16 |
11.26 |
6.96 |
38.5" |
10'9" |
| Wendling
has the physical skill set and attitude to be a great player.
However, he needs to play more aggressively. If a coaching
staff can bring this out in him (and I don't think that will be
difficult), Wendling could be a very good starter in the NFL.
He is strong, fast, quick, and athletic. He may be drafted
lower than where his ultimate value to team will lie. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| SCHOUMAN |
DEREK |
BOISE
ST |
TE/FB |
6'2.2" |
247 |
27 |
4.74 |
1.62 |
2.71 |
4.27 |
11.56 |
7.00 |
37.5" |
10'2" |
| Schouman
is a football player. He doesn't quite have the size to
lineup as an every down tight end, but could be a great h-back
or even fullback. Schouman is a good blocker and catches
the ball very well. He has strength, speed and athleticism
and should make an NFL roster as a valuable role player. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| AH
YOU |
C
J |
OKLAHOMA |
DE |
6'3.6" |
274 |
26 |
4.70 |
1.53 |
2.70 |
4.26 |
|
7.06 |
36.5" |
9'7" |
| Ah
You has potential to, initially, be a pass rush specialist, and
down the line, a good two-way end. He has good strength,
superb quickness, and is a good athlete. In fact, based on
football potential alone he would be a day one selection.
However, there are concerns with some prior off-field issues. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| COLEMAN |
DUANE |
CLEMSON |
CB |
5'9.3" |
199 |
18 |
4.42 |
1.52 |
2.56 |
4.51 |
11.56 |
7.18 |
38" |
10'1" |
| Coleman
is a recent convert to cornerback, who had success at the
position his senior year. Coleman is strong for his size,
possess good speed, and is a good athlete. His potential
problem is that his size may dictate covering slot receiver,
while his skills set (more fast than quick) is better for
covering outside receivers. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| CORNELIUS |
JEMALLE |
FLORIDA |
WR
|
5'10.6" |
183 |
|
4.40 |
1.54 |
2.55 |
4.30 |
|
6.99 |
36.5" |
10'3" |
| Cornelius
has deceptive speed and good hands. He could stick as a
team's fourth or fifth wideout, with the potential to possibly
be a #3 down the line. He could get overlooked in a deep
wide receiver draft. |
|
COMBINE
NO
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| HOOPER |
TREVOR |
STANFORD |
FS/SS |
5'11.6" |
208 |
9 |
4.65 |
1.57 |
2.65 |
4.10 |
|
6.94 |
36" |
9'9" |
| Hooper
is a kid who improved while at Stanford. A heady safety
with good quickness, he should get invited to a NFL camp where
he will have to show he can play special teams to have a chance
to stick. |
|
COMBINE
YES
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| LEWIS |
REGGIE |
FLORIDA |
CB |
5'10" |
204 |
17 |
4.54 |
1.53 |
2.62 |
4.00 |
|
6.75 |
35.5" |
10'1" |
| Lewis
is a former wide receiver who is still learning the cornerback
position. He has the quickness and cutting ability to
cover slot receivers, and could be a good special teams player.
Worth a shot in round seven or as a college street free agent. |
|
COMBINE
NO
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| MAYLE |
SCOTT |
OHIO |
WR |
6'1" |
178 |
|
4.38 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mayle
is a very good athlete. He placed fourth in the nation in
the long jump at the Indoor Track and Field championships.
He also has terrific speed. In addition, he was productive
in college catching over 100 balls. The kid is worth a
look in someone's camp. |
|
COMBINE
NO
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| QUINN |
JOHNNY |
NORTH
TEXAS |
WR/KR |
5'11.6" |
200 |
|
4.54 |
1.55 |
2.64 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Quinn
was extremely productive at North Texas. He has good hands
and also returned kicks and punts. |
|
COMBINE
NO
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| THOMAS |
STACEY |
TEXAS
SOUTHERN |
SS |
5'9.7" |
209 |
27 |
4.53 |
1.52 |
2.62 |
4.21 |
|
7.16 |
33" |
10'0" |
| Thomas
is strong as an ox. He was SWAC defensive player of the
year. He has decent speed and quickness, a nose for the
ball, and will be a terror on special teams if he proves he can
be a reliable backup strong safety as well. |
|
COMBINE
NO
|
|
COLLEGE
|
POS |
HGHT |
WGHT |
BENCH |
40 |
10 |
20 |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
BROAD
JUMP |
| WASHINGTON |
THADDEAUS |
COLORADO |
ILB |
5'10.6" |
250 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| If
he were a couple of inches taller, Washington would be mentioned
as a potential starter for a 3-4 team inside. Washington
is a big-hitter who reacts well to the ball and is a sure
tackler. He could be interesting value late in the draft. |
2007
TEAM NEEDS PRIOR TO THE DRAFT and FREE AGENCY
major
need
need
depth/possible
need
not a significant need
| QB |
Losman
is developing fine. Nall and Holcomb provide depth. |
| RB |
The
Bills are talking trade for McGahee. That's good because
he is a good but replaceable back. |
| WR |
I
see Pro Bowls in Evans's future. Price and Reed are
okay, but an upgrade opposite Evans would help. |
| TE |
Royal
is better than many think. Time for Everett to step
forward, or get cut. |
| OL |
Gandy
is an UFA. The line gave up too many sacks and didn't
run block well. |
| DL |
The
team is fine at end, but a run-stuffer at DT would help. |
| LB |
Fletcher-Baker
is an UFA. Spikes didn't come back all the way.
Crowell can play. Ellison showed promise. |
| DB |
An
excellent young safeties. Youboty may only be a nickel
this year so a starter for UFA Clements is needed. |
| ST |
Good
unit. |
2006
DRAFT PICKS
Links go to write-ups at NFL.com
| Buffalo |
| Rd |
Sel# |
Player |
Pos. |
Ht. |
Wt. |
School |
Jay's
ranking |
Jay's
draft value |
| 1 |
8 |
Whitner,
Donte |
SS |
5-10 |
203 |
Ohio
State |
#
2 SS |
Round
1 |
| 1 |
26 |
McCargo,
John |
DT |
6-2 |
301 |
North
Carolina State |
#7
DT |
Round
2 |
| 3 |
70 |
Youboty,
Ashton |
CB |
6-0 |
188 |
Ohio
State |
#8
CB |
Round
2 |
| 4 |
105 |
Simpson,
Ko |
FS |
6-1 |
208 |
South
Carolina |
#2
FS |
Round
1 |
| 5 |
134 |
Williams,
Kyle |
DT |
6-1 |
298 |
Louisiana
State |
#
13 DT |
Round
3 |
| 5 |
143 |
Butler,
Brad |
OT |
6-7 |
309 |
Virginia |
Late
Round Value |
>
Round 4 |
| 6 |
178 |
Ellison,
Keith |
OLB |
6-1 |
229 |
Oregon
State |
#13
OLB |
Round
4 |
| 7 |
216 |
Pennington,
Terrance |
OT |
6-7 |
326 |
New
Mexico |
Late
Round Value |
>
Round 4 |
| 7 |
248 |
Merz,
Aaron |
G |
6-3 |
326 |
California |
|
>
Round 4 |
| |
FA |
Nance,
Martin |
WR |
6-4 |
213 |
Miami
(Ohio) |
#12
WR |
4th
Round |
| |
FA |
Denney,
Chris |
WR |
6-3 |
224 |
Nebraska
- Omaha |
Late
Round Value |
>
Round 4 |
| |
FA |
Bassey,
Eric |
CB |
6-0 |
195 |
Oklahoma |
Late
Round Value |
>
Round 4 |
|
Outside of
trading up for McCargo and the late pick of Merz, the Bills did
a nice job of selecting players with good value. In
particular, Simpson, Williams, and Ellison were all tremendous
value at the spot they were drafted.
Hang in there
Bill fans. Last year everyone knocked the Broncos' draft.
Everyone but me that is. I gave them a solid B. At
the time, I particularly liked their selections of Williams and
Foxworth. So far so good for Denver, and me. This
year, the Bills appear to be the Broncos of last year.
Because of one mistake (Clarett by Denver last year), draft
analysts ripped the teams' entire draft. Selecting Whitner
was not a mistake, or a reach. Let me say that again,
selecting Whitner was not a mistake or reach! Prior to the
draft I wrote that Whitner was one of only a handful of
guaranteed Pro Bowl caliber, long term starters available in the
draft. Taking a player like that at the 8th spot is not
only fine, but an excellent pick. I will now take a moment
to wander a bit from comments on the Bills' draft, to make
another point. Draft analysts (and maybe some teams) are
spewing remarks about the college draft that are outdated.
When the draft was the only way for teams to stock high quality
players, taking the best player available, or making sure you
got optimal value at a spot, made sense. However, today,
teams can get star players through free agency. Even
franchise and transition players aren't untouchable with the
league's new poison pills (see Hutchinson's and Burleson's
contracts). Besides, under the old system when you lined
up players one through fifty in the draft from
"experts" rankings, the results were never that player
one was the best NFL player, two second best, and so on.
So all that those rankings did was provide an excuse for a
player drafted high who failed. Selecting Whitner did not
show me a tandem (Wilson-Levy) that did not get it as these
antiquated experts opined, but a team that has moved into the
new NFL landscape. The draft is just one way to stock
quality players. The goal is to build a playoff-caliber
team. Therefore, draft the piece that will bring you
closest to your goal. Now back to the Bills' draft.
After selecting Whitner, the Bills made their biggest draft
blunder. While I did say that drafting for optimal value
is outdated, you still have to get good value at your draft
spot. Trading up for McCargo was a mistake. McCargo
is a solid player who will contribute to the Bills' defense, but
is not good enough to warrant trading up and giving up a two and
three. In fact, Dusty Dvoracek was drafted with the 3rd
round pick the Bills used in the trade, and I had him rated as
the next defensive tackle on my board after McCargo, and would
have been a very acceptable alternative. And I'm not
convinced that McCargo wouldn't have been on the board when the
Bills' drafted in round two anyway. When Buffalo made the
trade I was certain they were going to draft WR Chad Jackson.
If they went in that direction (giving them an Evans-Jackson duo
which could have developed into the top pair of receivers in the
league in a couple of years), the Bills may have jumped up to a
grade of A-. Youboty was a solid pick in round three, but
don't get too excited. He is a work-in-progress and will
need time before he can be a reliable option at corner.
However, he should be able to step in for Clements in a year or
two should he leave in free agency. Simpson was one of the
biggest steals in the entire draft. He fell because he
came across poorly in interviews, not because of his talent on
the field. However, he is one of the youngest players in
the draft and will mature. Mark my words, in three or four
years people will be talking about how the Bills have the best
young safety tandem in the league and look back at this draft in
a much different light. Kyle Williams was another nice get
in round five. In many ways he is similar to McCargo and
it wouldn't surprise me if he becomes the better player.
This is not a knock on McCargo, just a point that Williams isn't
as far behind him in talent as he was selected in the draft,
which is another reason why I labeled the trade up for McCargo a
mistake. Butler is a big man who can add weight and become
a monster of a man. He is another work-in-progress but has
quick feet and a chance to develop into a starter. Ellison
was another steal. This is a kid I like more than other
draft analysts. I think he can be a SAM. Many felt
he was a WILL, and he is a bit slow for a sideline-to-sideline
tackle hound. As as SAM he has enough speed and skills to
cover tight ends, is a good blitzer, and has enough strength to
play off blocks and make tackles against the run. He could
push Posey to the bench sooner rather than later.
Pennington is another player whose skills need to be developed.
Merz was a player that the Bills obviously liked more than me,
but while there were guards I had rated more highly than Merz
left on my draft board, there were none that I had rated as
fourth round or better. Down the line when the Bills have
four, and maybe five defensive starters (McCargo or Williams,
Ellison, Whitner, Simpson, and maybe Youboty) coming out of this
draft on a good defense, maybe the pundits will apologize for
saying that old pros Wilson and Levy don't get it anymore.
Free agent
signing news has been slow coming out of Buffalo. However
two players are worth mentioning. Martin Nance is a big
receiver that many had third and fourth round grades on.
He has reasonable speed, good size (only good because he doesn't
always play up to his excellent size), and is used to being his
teams' go to receiver (was Roethlisbergers' main target his last
year at Miami-Ohio). If he can improve his concentration
so he doesn't drop balls he could stick. Denney also has
good size, plays big, has excellent hands, and could win over
fans with a big catch or two late in exhibition games.
However, he is slow. Denney could be a good red zone and
short area target, but faces an uphill battle to make the team.
A late signing that I just read on KFFL, was Eric Bassey.
Bassey is a fast physical corner who makes too many mistakes in
coverage, but could be a standout special teams player, and
could be moved to safety.
|
red indicates
workout number in top range at position in draft
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| Whitner |
Ohio
State |
5'10.1",
204 |
4.37 |
1.53 |
2.60 |
|
|
|
18 |
40" |
11'0" |
|
|
PLAYER
WHO WILL PERFORM BETTER IN NFL THAN MANY DRAFTED BEFORE
HIM
|
There
is talk that Whitner may get drafted early as a
potential corner. I don't think that will happen
because of all of the true corner talent in the draft.
Therefore, as a safety, Whitner may fall. That
would be a mistake. He is one of the handful of
guaranteed, Pro Bowl caliber, long-term starters in the
draft. He is fast, a big hitter, and a playmaker.
Whitner is a player I'd target for my team if I was a
NFL GM.
|
SS/FS/CB |
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| McCargo |
N
C State |
6'1.4",
302 |
5.11 |
1.78 |
2.99 |
4.37 |
|
7.29 |
25 |
30.5" |
9'2" |
|
DT
Jay Goldberg, 900FootballLinks.NET -
McCargo is talented, albeit, a bit inconsistent. His best
asset is his quickness which allows him to get good penetration.
He is in the category of quick athletic defensive tackles, not
the massive run-stuffing tackles. |
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| Youboty |
Ohio
State |
5'11",
189 |
4.43 |
|
|
4.18 |
|
6.96 |
11 |
36" |
10'0" |
|
CB
Jay Goldberg, 900FootballLinks.NET -
Youboty has good speed and height. However, Youboty may
need some seasoning before he can contribute as a starter.
As a work-in-progress he could be a good third round pick (has
second round value but this is a deep draft for cornerbacks and
others are more of a finished product). Youboty is a
natural athlete who isn't afraid to mix it up, but will need to
add bulk and strength to continue to play as aggressively he did
in college if he wants to avoid being knocked to the sidelines. |
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| Simpson,
K |
South
Carolina |
6'1",
203 |
4.45 |
1.59 |
2.64 |
4.20 |
|
7.09 |
11 |
40.5" |
10'2" |
|
|
PLAYER
WHO WILL PERFORM BETTER IN NFL THAN MANY DRAFTED BEFORE
HIM
|
Somehow,
Simpson went from a bottom of round one prospect to an
after-thought as a second round pick without playing a
game, and while performing well, as expected, in
workouts. Simpson is a playmaker, with good speed
and athleticism for a free safety. In fact, he may be
the best playmaking free safety in draft.
|
FS
Jay Goldberg, 900FootballLinks.NET -
Simpson has a nose for the ball, plays physically against the
run, and can step out and hold his own in pass coverage.
In his first year he picked off 6 passes, while in his second
year he had 103 tackles. He is a physical free safety who
can be a playmaker on defense. Simpson has a nice upside. |
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| Williams,
K |
LSU |
6'1.1",
301 |
4.99 |
1.73 |
2.99 |
4.52 |
|
7.43 |
32 |
27.5" |
8'2" |
|
DT/NT
Jay Goldberg, 900FootballLinks.NET -
Williams had a sack at the Senior Bowl. He has the rep of
being better in games than in workouts.
Jay
Goldberg, 900FootballLinks.NET - Williams has a nice mix of
speed and strength. However, he is small for a defensive
tackle and does not appear to be a good candidate to move to end
in a 3-4 defense. That limits the teams he will be drafted
to to ones that play a 4-3 defense and look for athletic tackles
(e.g. ATL), not massive run-stuffers (e.g. BAL). For this
teams, however, Williams will be great value who they can
probably get later in the draft than his value would dictate. |
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| Butler,
B |
Virginia |
6'7.1",
306 |
|
|
|
4.75 |
|
7.51 |
|
|
|
|
OT
Jay Goldberg, 900FootballLinks.NET -
Butler is a work in progress. He has excellent size, the
frame to put on more weight, and good feet. He will not
make an impact in year one, but could be a nice player down the
line. |
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| Ellison |
Oregon
State |
6'1.6",
230 |
4.76 |
1.61 |
2.76 |
4.16 |
|
6.77 |
24 |
33.5" |
9'7" |
|
OLB
Jay Goldberg, 900FootballLinks.NET -
Ellison had 99 tackles and 5 sacks his senior year showing a
nice combination of tackle-hound and blitzer. Some
analysts question if he can play SAM in the NFL, I do not.
He has the strength, the ability to cover tight ends, and can
blitz. Ellison is an underrated prospect who I may have
rated higher than others. |
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| Pennington |
New
Mexico |
6'7.2",
345 |
5.21 |
1.87 |
3.15 |
4.69 |
|
8.06 |
28 |
28.5" |
8'6" |
|
OT
Jay Goldberg, 900FootballLinks.NET - A big
man with good strength, Pennington is a very interesting day two
prospect. He needs coaching but showed he has potential
with a solid East West Shrine Game performance. |
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| Merz |
California |
6'3.5",
326 |
5.60 |
|
|
4.96 |
|
7.65 |
16 |
26.5" |
7'7" |
|
OG - Not at combine
Jay Goldberg, 900FootballLinks.NET - Merz
is a player with a lot of heart. He went from walk-on to
full time starter. He is a smart player, but limited
athletically and may have to catch on as a free agent. |
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| Nance |
Miami
- OH |
6'4.2",
213 |
4.55 |
1.62 |
2.71 |
4.08 |
|
6.91 |
|
33.5" |
9'4" |
|
| Jay Goldberg,
900FootballLinks.NET - Nance is a big receiver who needs to
learn how to utilize his height better. He also needs
better concentration so he doesn;t drop balls. He was
Roethlisberger's go-to receiver a couple of years ago when he
caught 90 balls for almost 1500 yards and 11 TDs. Last
year he caught 81 balls for over 1100 yards and 14 TDs.
Nance needs to step it up some, but is still an intriguing
prospect. |
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| Denney |
Nebraska-Oh |
6'3",
224 |
4.65 |
1.63 |
2.74 |
4.36 |
|
7.03 |
|
33" |
9'4" |
|
Jay Goldberg,
900FootballLinks.NET - Denney caught the ball very well during
drills at the Combine.
Jay
Goldberg, 900FootballLinks.NET - Denney is a tall receiver with
excellent hands and limited speed and quickness. His
combination of size and hands, however, could help him stick as
a red zone, third down receiver if he proves he can play special
teams. |
| PLAYER |
COLLEGE |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY
DASH |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER
LIC |
| Bassey |
Oklahoma |
5'11.7",
195 |
4.33 |
|
|
3.96 |
|
7.07 |
17 |
37.5" |
9'8" |
|
CB - NOT AT COMBINE
Jay Goldberg, 900FootballLinks.NET -
Bassey had a nice workout showing speed, quickness, and good
strength for a corner. Bassey's plays a physical corner
but gets beat too much and lost his starting job hi senior year.
However, with his physical attributes he could be drafted late
and brought to a camp for a look. He could even move to
safety in the NFL. |
2006
TEAM NEEDS
prior to free agency
LEGEND: MAJOR
NEED NEED
DEPTH/POSSIBLE NEED
NOT A NEED
| BUF |
| QB |
This assumes that the Bills are
committed to Losman, which may not be true.
Holcomb is better as a good backup than a low tier
starter. If the Bills aren't sold on Losman, they
need to bring in a starter better than Holcomb. |
| RB |
McGahee talks better than he runs.
He is a solid back, but not a Pro Bowl one. The
Bills need better depth behind him than they currently
have on their roster. |
| WR |
Evans is a star in the making.
Moulds is still steady, but his cap number means he will
likely be cut rather than reduce his salary to stay on a
team that has trouble throwing the ball. Reed is
an UFA, Parrish is a slot guy, not a replacement for
Moulds. The Bills need to find a new starter since
Moulds will likely be gone. |
| TE |
Campbell is a very good blocker and a
better receiver than most think, however, in this day of
tight ends that can stretch the field, he is a cut
below. Everett was injured last year, but is no
lock to be the receiving threat that Campbell isn't. |
| OL |
The Bills may have a new left side next
year. Gandy and Anderson are okay, but the Bills
need better than okay. Teague, their center is an
UFA. Preston will get first shot. Peters, a
converted tight end could hold the starting right tackle
position, but Mike Williams needs to get on the field
and be the force he was drafted to be. The team
needs a starting guard, a center to challenge Preston if
Teague leaves, and a tackle who can push Peters, Gandy
and Williams. |
| DL |
Denny and Edwards are UFAs.
Anderson replaced the injured Edwards and did
okay. Adams did not have one of his better years
at the other tackle spot. Kelsay and Schobel
return as ends and are a good tandem. The Bills
need a run-stuffing defensive tackle, and a pass-rushing
end to replace Denny assuming he leaves in free agency. |
| LB |
If Spikes gets back to full strength,
then he teams with Fletcher to form a very good
two-thirds of a starting linebacking crew. Posey
is okay on tyhe other side, but could be pushed by
Crowell who played well subbing for Spikes. A
strong side linebacker to challenge Posey and Crowell
should be added. |
| DB |
Clements is an UFA and his heir
apparent doesn't appear to be on the Bills' roster.
McGee is an emerging star on the other corner. The
starting safeties are old (Milloy and Vincent), but
still effective. Wire is on hand as a young strong
safety, Leonard as a free safety. The Bills need a
corner to replace Clements if he leaves, and another
corner to challenge Greer for the nickel. |
| ST |
No problems here. Good kicking
game, and excellent return game. |
|
2005
COLLEGE DRAFT
| The Bills stayed within acceptable guidelines
during their draft. While Preston was a bit of a reach
in round four, Geisinger was a steal in round six. Flip
flop those two in the draft and it was on the money.
All in all I was not overly impressed with the Bills'
draft. Most draft analysts had a second round grade on
Parrish. I had a third round grade, primarily, because
he does not have the potential to be a number one receiver
because of his lack of size. He is, however, an ideal
slot receiver, and that is where the Bills will use him.
With Evans, the Bills have a future perennial Pro Bowl player,
and legitimate number one receiver anyway. Everett was a
solid pick in round three. However, he is far from a
sure thing. He needs developing. It remains to be
seen if he will be able to take the step to become a major
receiving threat, or if he will peak at a solid
short-to-mid-range target. Preston was a bit of a reach.
Jason Brown, or even Junius Coston, would have been my pick.
However, I understand the selection. Preston is ready to
play now. He will be steady, but need some help at times
from his line-mates. He is a tough as nails kid.
King is in the mold of Preston. He is a producer on the
field. However, like all of the Bills picks, he has some
built-in limitations or questions. His size will limit
him to nickel packages, and his speed is not where you'd like
it to be for nickel corners. However, the kid can play
the game. Geisinger was the best value pick in the Bills
draft. As a sixth rounder, at worst he will provide a
quality backup at both guard and tackle. Best case,
Geisinger could develop into a quality starting guard.
It's hard to argue with the Bills when they select running
backs. But I will. Nothing against Gates, mind
you, but I liked a bunch of runners better than him at that
spot. Kay Jay Harris, Walter Reyes, Derrick Wimbush,
DeWitt Betterson are a few. Personally, if I drafted
Gates, I would have followed it up by signing one of the
runners just mentioned, since all went undrafted.
As of this writing the Bills had two free agent signing of
note. Gause was one of the best undrafted players
available. He is a defensive end who can pressure the
quarterback. And at 275 pounds, he ran a 4.66! He
also lifted the bar 28 times. I had a fourth round grade
on Gause. He should make the team as a quality backup
defensive end. Leonhard is another player who has a
shot. He is in the Preston-King mold, a better football
player than workout warrior. He also fits the Bills
other pattern of drafted players with some built-in
limitations. Leonhard is a bit slow for a free safety
(his college position), and a bit short for a strong safety
(where I think he will fit in best in the NFL). However,
he is strong, smart, and a good football player. Worst
case, he will be a terror on special teams.
|
RED NUMBERS BELOW - among
best at position
Long shuttle numbers (where available) in blue, top performers to be
determined later
| PLAYER |
POS |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER-
LIC |
| Parrish |
WR |
4.40 |
1.56 |
4.22 |
11.08 |
6.69 |
10 |
36" |
10'6" |
10 |
Gil Brandt
of NFL.com reports: The people
we talked to said Parrish did everything and more, including
running routes, catching punts and speeding around as quick as
two cats at his Pro Day.
Jay Goldberg of 900FootballLinks.NET reports: Parrish's
could make an NFL roster as a slot receiver and return man.
He is fast and a good athlete. |
| PLAYER |
POS |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER-
LIC |
| Everett |
TE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12 |
| Jay
Goldberg of 900FootballLinks.NET reports: Has a
higher upside than Smith or Dressen (higher rated tight ends),
but also a greater downside. Has the tools to be the
second best tight end in this draft class, but needs further
developing. |
| PLAYER |
POS |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER-
LIC |
| Preston |
C |
5.45 |
1.81 |
4.53 |
|
7.58 |
21 |
32" |
8'0" |
33 |
| Jay
Goldberg of 900FootballLinks.NET reports: Preston is
a functional sound, intense center, who showed more quickness
than expected during his workout. However, he is limited
athletically so he will need a good line around him if he is to
be an effective starter. |
| PLAYER |
POS |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER-
LIC |
| King |
CB |
4.41 |
1.61 |
4.18 |
11.36 |
6.92 |
12 |
38" |
10'6" |
19 |
| Jay
Goldberg of 900FootballLinks.NET reports: King showed
good cover skills and hitting ability during the Gridiron
Classic game. His size, however, will limit where he is
drafted and how he is used in the NFL. |
| PLAYER |
POS |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER-
LIC |
| Geisinger |
OT/OG |
5.35 |
1.84 |
4.62 |
|
7.87 |
34 |
27.5" |
7'11" |
29 |
| Jay
Goldberg of 900FootballLinks.NET reports: Geisinger
is a better run blocker than pass blocker at the moment.
He showed enough athletic ability in workouts to make the switch
to guard. Long term he is a backup at tackle, but could
have more of an upside if he can transition to guard. |
| PLAYER |
POS |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER-
LIC |
| Gates |
RB |
4.58 |
1.69 |
4.12 |
11.90 |
7.17 |
23 |
36" |
10'1" |
21 |
| Jay
Goldberg of 900FootballLinks.NET reports: During the
Gridiron Classic game Gates did not run strong. He seemed
tentative at times, and was kept in check pretty much all day.
He also made a bad decision and run on a return. |
| PLAYER |
POS |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER-
LIC |
| Gause |
DE |
4.66 |
|
4.64 |
|
7.37 |
28 |
31" |
8'9" |
14 |
| Jay
Goldberg of 900FootballLinks.NET reports: Gause
played okay at the Senior Bowl, showing some ability to get to
the passer. He is a fast, strong defensive end with good
size. |
| PLAYER |
POS |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3 CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
WONDER-
LIC |
| Leonhard |
FS |
|
|
|
|
|
19 |
|
|
24 |
| Jay
Goldberg of 900FootballLinks.NET reports: Leonhard is
a better football player than athlete. Even with his
smallish stature, he may be better as a strong safety in the NFL
because he is a smart, tough player who may lack the
speed to play free safety. Worst case, he will be a
reliable backup, and excellent special teams player. |
2005
TEAM NEEDS PRIOR TO FREE AGENCY AND THE DRAFT
Jay Goldberg of
90FootballLinks.NET reports:
major
need
need
position
possible
need, depth needed
no real need
Key UFA: Jennings OT, Price OT, Williams DT, Neufeld TE,
Bledsoe QB
Key RFA: Burns RB, Thomas CB (6th)
NOTE - RFA COMPENSATION AT MINIMUM TENDER
QB:
Bledsoe will be cut.
Losman will take over. An experienced backup is needed.
RB:
McGahee had a good
year. Henry will be moved, so a backup is needed.
WR: Moulds'
deal was reworked, he is a good player. Evans will be
special. Reed has regressed from his rookie year.
Aiken could move into the three spot next year. Another
receiver should be added in the draft to compete for playing
time.
TE:
Campbell and Euhus are
okay. Nuefeld is a free agent. He is a better
blocker than receiver. An upgrade would help the Bills
offense, especially wuth the young QB.
OL: Jennings
is an UFA. If he leaves there is a hole to fill,
especially with his backup, Price also an UFA. Other than
that, the Bills have talent along their offensive line and only
need depth.
DL:
Kelsay, Schobel and
Denny are a good rotation at end. Williams is an UFA and
he will probably leave. Adams is hot-and-cold. The
Bills could use a tackle (maybe two).
LB: Spikes,
Fletcher and Posey are a solid combination. The Bills
could use some youth at the position for the future, and should
also bring in competition for Posey.
DB:
Clements is a good
number one corner. McGee is so valuable as a
kick-returner, it would be best to bring in a corner to start
opposite Clements, moving McGee to the nickel. In any
case, another quality corner is needed. At safety, Vincent
took well to the weak side, Milloy keeps trucking on the strong
side. Wire adds depth. A young free safety to
apprentice under Vincent should also be addressed.
ST:
Lindell was very consistent, but had a long of only 43 yards.
Morrman is a solid punter. McGee is a top kick-returner.
Clements can still get the job done as a punt-returner, but he's
getting older and shouldn't be risked back there, he's too
important in the base defense. If Smith sticks he had some
electrifying moments returning punts.
|
2004
COLLEGE DRAFT
| I love the Bills' selection of Lee Evans.
He could end up being the best receiver in this draft.
He is fast, has great hands and makes acrobatic catches.
A great pick for the Bills. Losman is a player that you
either love or hate. That depends upon whether you view
him as cocky or immature. I think he's both. In time,
Losman will be a quality NFL quarterback. Anderson has
good skills but was drafted a little higher than I had him
graded, and ahead of a couple of players who were higher on my
board. Euhus is a great player to have on a team.
He will do what it takes to win and will contribute anyway he
can. However, I also think the Bills pulled the trigger
on him a round early. McFarland is a developmental
project as is the versatile Smith. Personally, there
were other players on the board, particularly at wide
receiver, that I would have taken a shot with instead; like
Kendrick Starling or Justin Jenkins or Maurice Brown.
The Bills did land some interesting free agents. WR
Beard has better speed than Smith, and could beat him out for
a roster spot. RB Williams was a productive player who could
become a good kick returner. DE Ritzmann is a good college
player still recovering from a knee operation. CB
Richardson had his "Fans" (see below), but may be a
tad slow and tad short. However, the most interesting
free agent signing by the Bills is TE-OT Jason Peters.
In my humble opinion, the Bills signed a player worthy of a
late third-early fourth round pick in the draft. Peters
will not be an every down player. However, in goal line
and short yardage situations, he will be a very valuable
asset. Peters is a 300 pound plus tight end with
exceptional speed and quickness for a man his size, good
hands, and has blocking skills good enough for him to be
looked at as an offensive tackle in the NFL. In my
opinion he is the third best player the Bills came with from
the college players they drafted or signed in free agency. |
PLAYER/
TEAM NEWS PRIOR TO DRAFT
| PLAYER |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
| Evans |
5-11,
198 |
4.33 |
1.51 |
4.02 |
11.47 |
6.74 |
- |
34½" |
10-0 |
Evans
Wisconsin
#3 ranked WR by Jaybird
|
Len
Pasquarelli of ESPN.com reports: Observation
from a NFL scout at the combine: "I am
incredibly anxious to see if (Wisconsin wide receiver) Lee Evans
works out and, if he does, how he runs. Here was a kid, two
years ago, that people felt was the best overall prospect in the
country. Not just the best wide receiver, maybe the best player,
period. And then he blew out his knee in spring ball, had two
surgeries, and he's sort of buried in the pack now, because
there are so many great receivers in this draft. But he looked
like he got his explosiveness back in the second half of the
year. He makes the big play when you need it, sticks the ball in
the end zone, goes aggressively after the ball. Someone is going
to get him in about the second half of the second round and
might get a steal."
Jay Goldberg of 900FootballLinks.NET
reports: I love Evans, he makes acrobatic catches,
has the speed to get deep, and good hands. If not for his
prior injury, he would be in the same league as Roy Williams.
Gil Brandt of NFL.com reports: Evans
ran pass routes for 45 minutes and not one ball touched the
ground (no drops, in other words). One club representative at
Evans' on campus workout was so impressed, he called his team's
head coach to tell him about it. I'd say that's a good sign.
Vic Ketchman of jaguars.com
reports: Everyone is rooting for Lee Evans. Following
his junior season, Evans decided to remain at Wisconsin for his
senior year. Then he blew out his knee in spring practice and
missed the '02 campaign. He returned to action in '03, knocked
off the rust, and is in the process of convincing scouts in his
personal workouts that he's recovered from the knee injury and
is worthy of a first-round selection. At 5-11, 197, he's a speed
receiver who is the “best receiver to come out of Wisconsin
since Al Toon,” Pauline (jaguars.com draft expert) said.
“Excellent hand-catcher. Will stretch the defense and make the
game-breaking catch. Smart player and very fast. Plays to his 40
time, which is a 4.4.” |
| PLAYER |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE DRILL |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
| Losman |
6-2¼,
217 |
4.68 |
- |
- |
33" |
9-8 |
Losman
Tulane
#4 ranked QB by
Jaybird
|
D.J. Boyer of
Football.com reports: I have seen some
reports with glowing reviews of J.P. Losman. Maybe there are a
few teams out there that like his upside but I don’t think he
performed well at all (Senior Bowl practices), and he hurt his
stock. Rivers was probably the best quarterback here but nobody
blew the scouts away. When the coaches went to the two
minute offense, Losman struggled.
Jamie Moore of gbnreport.com (Great
Blue North Report) reports: QB
J.P. Losman, Tulane... Easily the top QB in Mobile (at the
Senior Bowl), Losman still needs a little work on his footwork,
but showed great arm strength, particularly on deep fade routes
on which the ball got there in a real hurry, as well as
mobility. There were some whispers about Losman's attitude,
particularly when interviews with several teams reportedly
didn't go very well, but there is no question that Losman can
get the ball where its supposed to be in a hurry.
InsideTheLeague.com reports:
Tulane QB J.P. Losman was the unquestioned star amongst the
quarterbacks at the NFL Combine Sunday, Feb. 22. He was clocked
at 4.71 in his first 40-yard dash and 4.66 in his second run. He
also threw the ball with a zip and perfect rotation.
Len Pasquarelli of ESPN.com reports: Observations
from two college scouts, one
from each conference, on Saturday "I'm not
telling you anything new when I say this quarterback bunch is
like watching statues, their movement skills are so ordinary.
But one guy who can move around is the (J.P. Losman) kid from
Tulane. There are a lot of people down on him and he kind of got
lost in the shuffle, but he's got some (arm) strength, and is
tougher than he gets credit for being."
Len Pasquarelli of ESPN.com reports:
He is hardly a secret, since some scouting groups had him
rated as the No. 1 prospect in the spring, but he got lost in
the shuffle some during a disappointing senior season. Losman
still probably is no better than the No. 4 prospect now but
there is at least one team that feels he could sneak into the
late stages of the first round. Losman had a little trouble with
his accuracy on some medium-range throws but was excellent on
deep routes, showing very good touch. He also showed foot speed
in the 40, with a 4.62 time.
Gil Brandt of NFL.com reports: Losman's
workout was put together by Saints quarterbacks coach Mike
Sheppard. Losman did not run or do jumps -- he just threw.
His targets were NFL receiver Kevin Dyson, Tulane running back
Mewelde Moore and former Tulane player Terrell Harris.
Losman worked out at the combine, where he measured up at 6-2¼,
ran a 4.68 in the 40 and had a 33-inch vertical. At this
workout, he weighed 217 pounds, which is seven pounds less than
he did at the combine. Overall, Losman's workout was also very
good, but not as good as Manning's. Still, he will receive lots
of attention between now and the draft. |
| PLAYER |
POS |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
| Anderson |
DT |
6-3
1/8, 307 |
5.01 |
1.79 |
4.32 |
7.35 |
- |
32½" |
9-1 |
Anderson
Ohio State
#17 ranked DT by
Jaybird
|
Drew
Boylhart of www.thehuddlereport.com reports: DT - Tim
Anderson - Ohio St - He played a lot of DE. Did well at the
combine. He just knows how to play the game. Good balance, etc.
The Tool-Man.
Gil Brandt of NFL.com reports: Anderson
worked out very well at his pro day workout, and turned out to
be a pleasant surprise. Anderson is one of these
"anchor tackles" teams are looking for these days, and
his workout catapulted him into the first day of the draft.
NFLFans.com reports: Anderson
is not going to be in the highlight films every week but he will
give you consistent play weekly and is an excellent leader on
the field. He will not give you a dozen sacks a year but he will
batter and bruise many a running back that dares to come his
way. |
| PLAYER |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
| Euhus |
6-5,
249 |
4.84 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
25 |
- |
- |
| PLAYER |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
20
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
| Williams |
5-7
3/8, 193 |
4.59 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
26 |
35" |
- |
Williams
Auburn
Jaybird: below 4th round
|
NFLFans.com
reports: I am not certain, because of his size, even
with the success he had at Alabama, if RB Shaud Williams will be
drafted. If he isn’t, I am sure he will be picked up
afterwards and attend a teams summer session. At best he would
be a third down back and special team player because, as stated,
he will have major difficulties do to his limited size and
strength. |
| PLAYER |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
| Evans |
6-0
1/8, 180 |
4.46 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Beard
Miami
Jaybird: below 4th round
|
NFLFans.com
reports: Despite his speed and potential; his lack of
production at Miami, his frail frame, and his durability
questions, will be a major reason he may be a very late draft
selection or be an undrafted free agent. |
| PLAYER |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
| Peters |
6-4
3/8, 328 |
4.87 |
1.73 |
4.75 |
- |
7.70 |
25 |
33½" |
9-7 |
Peters
Arkansas
#5 ranked TE by
Jaybird
|
Pete
Fiutak / CollegeFootballNews.com posted at foxsports.com
reports: Projected: 3rd round. Good or bad move to
come out early? Peters is listed as a tight end, but at 320
pounds he projects as an athletic tackle.
Len Pasquarelli of
ESPN.com reports: TE
Jason Peters (Arkansas): At a whopping 334 pounds, ran a sub-4.9
time in the 40. And, no, that is not a typo. Showed plenty of
strength in the bench press. Might never play a single snap at
tight end in the NFL and he knows it. Given his bulk and his
very quick feet, there already are teams figuring he can make
the transition to offensive tackle. In fact, he bragged to a few
scouts that he might be the best tackle prospect in the draft.
Gil Brandt of NFL.com reports:
Peters worked out as an offensive lineman and at tight end. Most
people think he can be a tackle. |
| PLAYER |
POS |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY |
10
DASH |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
| Ritzmann |
DE |
6-3
254 |
4.97 |
1.65 |
4.36 |
7.29 |
24 |
30½" |
9-1 |
Ritzmann
Tennessee
Jaybird: below 4th round
|
NFLFans.com
reports: DE
Ritzmann missed all of 2002 with a torn ACL in
his left knee. Seems to have recovered ok but will have to go
through some extensive exams at the combine.. |
| PLAYER |
POS |
HGT-WGHT |
FORTY |
SHORT
SHUTTLE |
LONG
SHUTTLE |
3
CONE |
BENCH |
VERTICAL
JUMP |
LONG
JUMP |
| Taylor |
CB |
5-9
3/8, 195 |
4.60 |
- |
- |
- |
9 |
31½" |
- |
Richardson
Arkansas
Jaybird: below 4th round
|
Pete
Fiutak / CollegeFootballNews.com posted at foxsports.com
reports: Projected: 5th to 6th round.
Good or bad move to come out early? He could've come back for
another year, but his stock wouldn't have gone any higher. He's
a nice cover corner who'll end up making someone's roster.
NFLFans.com reports:
Despite his size, Richardson is one of the top pass defenders in
the draft. He needs coaching on run defense but
could emerge as a mid to late round gem. |
2003
COLLEGE DRAFT
|
C
|
2003
COLLEGE DRAFT REPORT CARD
|

|
| I can understand a team with a crying need for
a feature back, or a team with multiple first-round picks
selecting McGahee in round one, but not a team with one pick
and feature back like Travis Henry. The benefits from
McGahee, should he recover his full skills, will be felt down
the road for the Bills. So time will tell. Kelsay
was an excellent pick in round two. If he develops like
I think he can, then you can look at Kelsay as a first rounder
and McGahee as a second-round chance. Crowell is a
tweener-type of linebacker who may lack the size and strength
to play inside and the speed to play outside. McGee may
develop into a slot corner, but then again he may not.
Aiken has size and was good value in the fourth round.
Worst case he is a red-zone target, best case he develops into
a solid all-around receiver. Sobieski looks the part,
but has had both injury and production problems. Sape
could develop into a valuable bench player. Haggan can
play both inside and outside and should be a good special
teams player. Haggan may be more useful, long term, than
Crowell. |
| McGahee |
The Miami Herald's Gary Estwick
reports the doctor who performed surgery on Miami RB Willis
McGahee's (left knee) knee said McGahee should recover from
his injury in time for the upcoming NFL season. He will be
able to withstand physical contact by June and should be
healed by the fall, Miami team physician Dr. John Uribe said.
That could mean McGahee will be selected sooner than later in
the NFL Draft, if his aggressive rehabilitation stays ahead of
schedule. McGahee's injury will prohibit him from
participating in the NFL Scouting Combine in Indianapolis.
McGahee's rehabilitation is going so well that he received
permission from his physical therapist to walk without
crutches at Walter Camp awards weekend.
KFFL.com reports: Updating
previous stories, the AP reports Miami RB Willis McGahee
(knee) is recovering at an impressive rate. He says he will be
ready to play by the start of the 2003 season. So far his
doctors have been amazed by the speed of his recovery.
Len Pasquarelli of ESPN.com reports: One general
manager noted on Thursday (at combine) that the best back he
had seen so far was Miami star Willis McGahee, who might not
even get on the field in 2003, as he continues to rehabilitate
from the catastrophic knee injury that he suffered in the
second half of the Fiesta Bowl. Said the general
manager: "He walked in with just a (protective) 'sleeve'
on his knee, no limp, looking strong and well conditioned.
Hell, just that alone was enough to put him ahead of some of
the healthy guys here. It's a shame (about the injury) because
he was, head and shoulders, the one premier back we knew would
be in this draft.."
Draft2003.com reports, Willis
McGahee, Miami -- His personality and confidence made
believers out of everyone in attendance... he was in only his
seventh week of rehab from his knee injury... yet showed up
with only 6.2% body fat...
Len Pasquarelli of ESPN.com reports,
there is some talk among some teams that if University of
Miami RB Willis McGahee (knee) isn't happy with the round in
which he is taken in next month's NFL Draft, he will simply
refuse to sign a contract. He will then spend a full year
rehabilitating from his devastating knee injury suffered in
the Fiesta Bowl, and go back into the 2004 draft.
Nick Cafardo, of the Boston Globe,
reports mixed messages from University of Miami RB Willis
McGahee's (knee) workout Tuesday with the Patriots McGahee's
agent, Drew Rosenhaus, thought the workout was impressive,
saying "there's no question" his client will play
this year. But a scout who viewed the workout said he believes
teams interested in McGahee should be thinking about 2004, not
2003.
KFFL.com reports, University of
Miami RB Willis McGahee (knee) went through additional tests
at the league’s re-check combine on Friday and Saturday.
According to his agent, Drew Rosenhaus, McGahee passed all of
the tests. “He said some of the doctors had to look at him
twice to see that he was the same guy they saw in February,”
Rosenhaus said. He added that he spoke with nine NFL doctors
and “they have never seen a recovery like this.”
Len Pasquarelli of ESPN reports,
Miami RB Willis McGahee worked out for several scouts
Tuesday in Florida. The reaction by most accounts was very
favorable. He showed considerable mobility for
someone less than four months removed from a tremendous knee
injury. He performed squats and compiled 26 reps of 225 pounds
in the bench press. McGahee ran two 50-yard sprints at
approximately 75 to 80 percent of his full speed. He also
caught 50 passes, without a drop. |
| Kelsay |
Gil Brandt, for
NFL.com, reports Nebraska DL Chris Kelsay will work out as a
LB at the NFL Combine.
AllProScouting.com reports Chris Kelsay
measured 6043, 273, did 23 reps, and ran 4.68 and 4.77
in the forty.
Draft2003.com
reports, Chris Kelsay, Nebraska -- Ran 4.71 in
the 40... at 6-foot-4, 273 pounds... plays with a very high
motor... impressed teams in his interviews... is now a late
first to early second round pick...
Matt Gambill of
AllProScouting.com reports, I see very little upside and
very little anything that I like. Good workout guy, but I
don't think he will be worth a hill of beans in the NFL. Maybe
a solid performer, but SURELY NOT a first round talent.
ProFootballWeekly.com
reports ar fast riser who could sneak up the draft boards,
like Dwight Freeney did a year ago, is Nebraska’s Chris
Kelsay, who might have more upside than Rams DE Grant Wistrom,
who was drafted No. 6 overall by the Rams in 1998, when he was
coming out of Nebraska. |
| McGee |
WORKOUT
NUMBERS
Gil Brandt of NFL.com reports, Terrence McGee
was measured at 5-foot-9½ and 198 pounds. He ran 4.41 with
the wind, and 4.53 against. His vertical jump was 36 inches,
and his broad jump was 10-4. |
| Aiken |
AllProScouting.com
reports in pre-combine workouts, North
Carolina WR ran a 4.5 forty.
WORKOUT
NUMBERS
Matt Gambill of
AllProScouting.com reports, WR Sam Aiken ran two sub 4.5
forties at 6017 and 210 pounds.
His best time was 4.45 and he had a 37 1/2" Vertical |
| Sobieski |
WORKOUT
NUMBERS
Gil Brandt of NFL.com reports, OG - Sobieski (6-4 3/4 311) was
a sixth-year senior as he was granted an extra year because of
injuries. He had a 34-inch vertical jump and an 8-foot-7 1/2
long jump> He ran 4.99 in each of his two 40s and
benched 19 times. |
| Haggan |
WORKOUT
NUMBERS
Gil Brandt of NFL.com reports,
Mario Haggan worked out and ran. He improved on his time of
4.68 twice. |
2002
COLLEGE DRAFT
|
GRADE : A-
Plug in Williams and
leave him there for the next 10+ years. A great player a
need position. WR Reed was a steal in round 2.
While he is not a home run threat he is consistent, tough and
has great hands. He is the type of receiver QBs look for
when they need to convert a key third down. Denney was a
solid third round choice and should start for the Bills this
year. Wire has some long term potential and Bannan is anothe
lunch-pail player who could fit into the Bills rotation at DT.
Thomas is a good extra corner for a team to have. He has
some good cover skills. Purcillo is another useful
player. He can become a good utility back-up offensive
lineman.
Links
below take you to NFL.com's report on player, position or
college team.
| Rd |
Sel# |
Player |
Pos. |
Ht. |
Wt. |
School |
| 1 |
4 |
Williams,
Mike |
OT |
6-6 |
375 |
Texas |
| 2 |
36 |
Reed,
Josh |
WR |
5-10 |
210 |
Louisiana
State |
| 2 |
61 |
Denney,
Ryan |
DE |
6-7 |
276 |
Brigham
Young |
| 3 |
97 |
Wire,
Coy |
SS |
6-0 |
209 |
Stanford |
| 5 |
139 |
Bannan,
Justin |
DT |
6-3 |
300 |
Colorado |
| 6 |
176 |
Thomas,
Marvin 'Kevin' |
CB |
5-11 |
180 |
Nevada-Las
Vegas |
| 7 |
215 |
Pucillo,
Mike |
G |
6-4 |
317 |
Auburn |
| 7 |
249 |
Wright,
Rodney |
WR |
5-8 |
175 |
Fresno
State |
| 7 |
251 |
Ferguson,
Jarrett |
FB |
5-8 |
222 |
Virginia
Tech |
| 7 |
260 |
Stevenson,
Antone 'Dominique' |
ILB |
6-0 |
222 |
Tennessee |
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