GOLDBERG's MOCK DRAFT
NOW 2 ROUNDS
updated 04/26/11 (click here to return to main draft page)
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ROUND 1 change change from early April same from early April prior pick in this mock draft
reports recently to the contrary, I believe the
Panthers are still talking themselves into selecting a quarterback and it
appears that that quarterback is Newton.
Last two mock drafts was Newton QB
|At least I am no
longer hearing talk of defensive ends here like there was at the beginning
of this process. That made no sense. When the Broncos drafted Ayers and moved him to OLB in their 3-4, I felt that was a
mistake. To me, Ayers is a perfect fit as an end in a 4-3. And
while the early TV talking heads kept
mentioning Fox wants his Peppers; I say keep in mind that they were at their best
when he had a dominating Kris Jenkins.
Last two mock drafts was Dareus DT
|It seems many TV
talking heads are now coming around to what I have projected since my
first mock draft. That Miller is the guy at this spot. In spite of
Newton going number one, no QBs in this
draft blow me away as a sure-fire dominate NFL signal caller. Yes, there
is a lot of potential in the group; but that translates to value later in
the draft (although some teams will over-draft a couple of them).
With Fitzpatrick holding the fort, I strongly believe that the Bills will
go quarterback in round two, and have a specific target in mind. If
they believe their guy will be gone, I could see them trading up to the
bottom of round one if they think their target will be off the board in
round two. For now, I
have them breaking the hearts of the Arizona Cardinals and grabbing
Last two mock drafts was Miller OLB
|I'm sorry. I
keep forgetting that logic and the Bengals often do not go hand in
hand. Here, right now, at this spot in the draft, they are one
team I would applaud reaching for quarterback. Specifically, they should
draft Gabbert. While I
believe Gabbert is a reach at this spot, the Bengals would be accomplishing
two things with this pick. The first is getting, what they believe,
is their quarterback of the future, and next an excuse to come off their
stand of not trading Carson Palmer since (in their future words), "We
never expected Gabbert to get by Carolina and Buffalo and that changed
everything." However, with apologies to the TV-talking heads I
"mocked" in my earlier posts here, I now surerender and predict Cincinnati
will draft a wide receiver here.
Early April mock draft was Gabbert QB; Last mock draft was Green WR
|Now at least there
is an opportunity for Arizona to prove what I have felt all along; that
they will not select a quarterback here, or even in round two of this
drafted Skelton last year. He was suppose to sit a full year or two, but got
forced into action when he wasn't ready. I don't think they have
given up on him. So by not drafting a quarterback, Arizona becomes
the most attractive landing spot for a veteran free agent. Passing
on a quarterback will be a smart move for Arizona. Now to who they
will select, the Cardinals
wanted Miller, but will gladly settle for Peterson, a player many have as
the top player in the draft.
Last two mock drafts was Peterson CB
|This choice will
now come down to Quinn or wide receiver Julio Jones. With their
switch to a 4-3 defense, I believe getting a pass rusher is the Browns top
priority. Just look at their depth chart if you don't believe me.
Early April mock draft was Green WR; Last mock draft was Quinn DE
|Hmmm, ask yourself
this question; does a team that energetically announces that they want to
resign Alex Smith need a quarterback? Ahhh, yeah. If the draft unfolds as
I have it, look for the 49ers to jump at drafting Gabbert.
Early April mock draft was Amukamara CB; Last mock draft was Gabbert
|This team needs a
young QB, but with Gabbert gone, they may wait to draft one in round
two. If they were to go QB here, my gut feel is the Locker would be
their guy. And I think they will give it serious
consideration. For now I
have them going need and value with Fairley.
Last two mock drafts was Fairley DT
|Now with Amukamara
available, the Cowboys have a decision. At the beginning of this
process I stated, " My gut tells me that one of the offensive
tackles will start to make a move up draft boards. I'm projecting
that player to be Tyron Smith." After his Pro Day it looks like I was
right. So even with Amukamara available I'm sticking with the player
I had projected for the Cowboys well before most.
Last two mock drafts was T Smith OT
|For me, I would
think, the Redskins need a
receiver and even with A.J. Green off the board, this pick should be a
no-brainer, Julio Jones. However, Shanahan is quarterback-centric
and quarterbacks can become hot commodities as the draft approaches.
If Shanahan believes he can get a quarterback he is targeting in round two
he could pass up Locker here. However, without a lot of ammunition
to move up in round two I look for him to get an itchy trigger finger and
draft a player he believes in and wants badly. Locker becomes his
next, no not John Elway; his next Jake Plummer. Let's hope that is
left to his play on the field and doesn't extend to his comments in the
Early April mock draft was Jones WR; Last mock draft was Locker QB
|With Quinn off the
board and Amukamara available, and Houston also needing a cornerback, all
I'm going to do is switch from pass-rushing outside linebacker to
cornerback, right? Wrong! Just look at new defensive
coordinator Wade Phillips defense in Dallas. He clearly valued pass
rush over coverage; better to force quarterbacks to throw quickly than
rely on corners to stay with receivers longer. While some may feel
this will be clearly Amukamara, or at least close between them, I
don't. This pick will come down to Smith or Kerrigan.
Early April mock draft was Quinn DE/OLB; Last mock draft was A Smith DE/OLB
|Okay, I give
in. Minnesota should draft Mallett. He is the top quarterback
on my board. But I give in and will off my projection here. I'm
still a bit confused however.
Mallett is up, Mallet is down. Bad stuff in the press about
Mallet. Teams come to his defense. Supposedly, he was a player others
gravitated to at the Combine. I think he'll be fine off the field
and putting him on a team with Peterson, would have made this a dangerous
offense. Do opposing defenses put a safety in the box to stop
Peterso;, or do they protect deep against the big arm of Mallett? If
Minnesota drafts Mallett, kudos. Here
is an interesting article on Mallett that strengthens my take on him as
the top quarterback in the draft (click on slideshow to get to additional
pages in the article). Now on to my projection. For years the
Vikings' strength on defense was their ability to shut down the run.
There were cracks in the Williams' Wall last year and Minnesota will look
to draft a defensive tackle to start re-building the
interior of their defensive line. Liguet is a highly regarded
Last two mock drafts was Mallett QB
|There are some
teams I have confidence in, that if they see something that they didn't
expect, or that doesn't fill an obvious need, that they will pull the
trigger and shake things up. The way the Lions have approached the
draft recently gives me confidence in them. Think about Detroit
lining up Jones opposite Calvin Johnson. While that's scary on
paper, it is even more frightening to opposing defenses on the field. An alternative could be Amukamara.
Early April mock draft was Costanzo OT; Last mock draft was Jones WR
|Too bad, St.
Louis. You almost had Julio Jones fall into your laps. When you think of
Spagnuolo’s defenses with the Giants, you think pass rushers, pass
rushers, pass rushers. Since the Head Coach puts a value on that
skill, and Bowers fell due to not being fully healthy, I have him
selecting a player that could be a steal at this spot.
Last two mock drafts was Bowers DE
|There is a reason
why a large number of mock drafts have Ingram going to Miami here.
They desperately need a running back. And unless they trade down
they have no second round pick. While a good running back could be
available in round three, it's too big of a risk to take. So if
Miami trades down and gets a second round pick in return, they go off of
Ingram. If not, Ingram should clearly be their guy.
Last two mock drafts was Ingram RB
|If the draft
unfolds as I have it, Jacksonville will have a tough choice between Watt,
Kerrigan and Amukamara. Based on their draft board as well as need,
I would expect them to go with Amukamara, although Watt wouldn't surprise
Early April mock draft was Watt DE; Last mock draft was Amukamara CB
|When the Pats were dominate
their defensive line consisted of large, athletic, first round
picks. Therefore, I see this pick coming down to who they have more highly
rated for their system, Watt or Jordan. While I have Watt more
highly-rated, I would look for New England to draft Jordan since he
is the more traditional 3-4 defensive end.
Last two mock drafts was Jordan DE
Patriots take between Jordan and Watt, I look for the Chargers to draft
the other player. Watt is more of a pass-rusher than Jordan and the
player I think San Diego preferred a bit anyway.
Early April mock draft was Wilkerson DE; Last mock draft was Watt DE
|With Liguet off the
board the Giants will have to decide between an offensive tackle or a
defensive tackle. I started this process thinking offensive tackle,
but became convinced that Liguet would be their guy. When I analyze
their roster, draft history and roster I am convinced that if the board
unfolds as I now have it, that they will draft Austin over an offensive
tackle. However, I could see them going with Costanzo.
Last two mock drafts was Liguet DT
|With the Talib
issues cornerback will now be considered here as well as defensive
end. However, the best corner available based on talent, Jimmy
Smith, has off-the-field questions. After experiencing Talib, I
would doubt Tampa Bay would go in that direction. So, the Bucs need a
pass rusher and with Ryan Kerrigan available in my mock draft, run up to
hand in this card to secure the talented pass rusher.
Early April mock draft was A Smith DE; Last mock draft was Kerrigan DE
|You need a big
strong nose tackle in the middle of a 3-4 defense. Taylor is a big,
strong kid who has had a good post-season. This pick could also be
Costanzo if the Chiefs believe he can be their left tackle of the future,
allowing Albert to kick inside where he will be a stud.
Last two mock drafts was Taylor DT
|At this spot the
Colts will have their pick of offensive tackles. I think the choice
comes down to Costanzo, who is more ready now; and the highly-athletic
Solder, who needs some work, including getting stronger, but has a
tremendous upside. With their need, I say the Colts go for now over
Early April mock draft was Solder OT; Last mock draft was Costanzo OT
re-think. Since the Eagles need is right tackle, and it is easier to
get one of those in round two or three, my current thinking is that Philly
will pull the trigger and take a chance on Jimmy Smith. There is no
questioning his on-field talent, and he has a strong coaching staff and
locker room (including Vick) to help him out.Carimi is a steal
for the Eagles at this spot. He is a good fit for right
tackle. He will provide dividends immediately.
Sherrod, an underrated
prospect, who will be a solid tackle for many years will also
Early April mock draft was Sherrod OT; Last mock draft was Carimi OT
|While Wilkerson may
be the top defensive end available, he isn't a good fit for the
Saints. On the other hand, Clayborn, if healthy, could be a
steal. I recently read a report that teams haven't been put off by
his medical condition so the Saints get a potential steal.
Early April mock draft was Kerrigan DE; Last mock draft was Clayborn DE
|If you didn't read
the article I linked to in the Minnesota write-up, here it is again (click
here). It was further support for me in my opinion that Mallett
should be the top rated quarterback in the draft. I believe Pete
Carroll knows that and will grab Mallett here since it's beginning to
look more and more like Hasselbeck will not be resigned. Also, the Seahawks made a
mistake trading for Whitehurst. He is NFL-ready and could start day one
(assuming he gets time to learn the Seahawks offense).
Last two mock drafts was Ponder QB
|Should I rely on
what I'm reading or my gut? What I'm reading is defensive end and
they like Wilkerson My gut is if Jimmy Smith is available, he is a
needed commodity, a good fit and will be drafted into a team that should
keep him controlled off the field. Oh well, at least I went with
"writing-heads" and not "talking-heads". Man,
it's a "Wild Wild Life".
Early April mock draft was Heyward; Last mock draft was Wilkerson DE
defensive line or receiver here. However, the way the draft has
unfolded I believe the Saints go offensive line. Both starting
guards are free agents. And while the Falcons drafted some young
guards last year, none have the talent of Pouncey. The Falcons
wanted his brother, Maurkice last year, and will be very happy to draft
Mike this year.
Last two mock drafts was Pouncey OG
|This 270 pound kid
can run, is quick and is an excellent pass rusher. He is a perfect
fit for the Patriots' 3-4. He could be one of the steals of the
draft. I just read (Rotoworld.com) that Houston failed a drug
test at the Combine (marijuana. If that is true then the Pats won't
draft him. There board is titled to kids who love the game above all
else. This is an indication that that is not the case with
Houston. For simplicity sake at this point in my mock draft process,
move Reed OLB Arizona here and follow the blue writing to see the
other impacts if Houston did indeed make this big mistake.
Last two mock drafts was Houston OLB
Prior picks: Jordan DE
|The Bears were
hoping one of the offensive tackles fell here and a couple
have. In addition, the defensive tackles they hoped for
are off the board. Solder is a very athletic and a player who has the
potential to be a very good left tackle and, therefore, is the pick over
Early April mock draft was Sherrod OT; Last mock draft was Solder OT
time. With Heyward now available, I have the Jets going back
him. He has been alternating with Brooks Reed throughout my mock
Early April two mock draft was Reed OLB; Last mock draft was Heyward DE
|With Carimi now
available my hunch (Dowling) takes a back seat. The Steelers need
help at tackle and Carimi is a player who would have gone higher in other
Last two mock drafts was Dowling CB
re-think. The Packers have had success drafting receivers in rounds
two and three. So with the underrated Sherrod available, I am look
for the Packers to draft a player to help protect their quarterback and
grab a wide receiver down the line despite Hankerson having the look and feel of a Packers' receiver
and Smith's big-play ability.
Last two mock drafts was Smith WR
ROUND TWO FOLLOWS BELOW, AFTER SPONSOR BANNER
ROUND 2 change change from early April same from early April prior pick in this mock draft
continue to add quality talent. Their offensive line has some uncertainties and
age and Sherrod is a first round talent.
Early April mock draft was Watkins OG; Last back draft was Sherrod OT
Prior picks: Jordan DE, Houston OLB
|This is the quarterback I believe the Bills are targeting. He has the mobility and athleticism
that Chan Gailey likes, and has a big arm. With Fitzpatrick on the
roster, Kaepernick can sit and learn for a year or two. Yes.
Kaepernick over both Ponder and Dalton.
Last two mock drafts was Kaepernick QB
Prior picks: Miller OLB
available, things worked out for the Bengals. I like Ponder more
than Dalton. So the Bengals get their quarterback after selecting a player
who could be the best in the draft in round one.
Early April mock draft was Hankerson WR; Last mock draft was Dalton QB
Prior picks: Green WR
|So he had a bad day
in drills at his Pro Day. Don't we all have bad days from time to
time. Despite what is being written, Wilson is not just a workout
warrior. He was atop Mike Mayock's inside linebacker board prior
to the Combine. He is a rare athlete for a middle linebacker and
will be a stud in the middle for years to come for the team that drafts
Last two mock drafts was Wilson ILB
Prior picks: Dareus DT
|While a receiver
makes sense, and there are good ones available here, I see Cleveland
continuing to build their new 4-3 defensive line grabbing a player
who holds the record for the most bench presses at the Combine.
Early April mock draft was Clayborn DE; Last mock draft was Austin DT
Prior picks: Quinn DE
|With Watkins now unavailable, I have Arizona
going back to the Rudolph, the best tight end in the draft. Arizona
has tried the athletic later-round prospect types; now it's time to draft
a player they expect will turn into a major weapon.
Early April mock draft was Rudolph TE; Last mock draft was Watkins OG
Prior picks: Peterson CB
just hang on to get the last of the top seven quarterbacks. Here
they get one who can step in rigfht away, but one I think will peak at a
serviceable starter, not a difference-maker.
Early April mock draft was Locker QB; Last mock draft was Stanzi QB
Prior picks: Fairley DT
spot for me. I am probably one of the only (if not only) draft
analysts who has Curtis Brown rated as his number three cornerback.
Both Dowling and Harris are rated more highly on other boards. I
could see Dallas drafting either Harris or Dowling. In the end I
think Jerry Jones will be too intrigued by Dowling's athleticism to pass
Last two mock drafts was J Smith CB
Prior picks: T Smith OT
|The Redskins could
go for a new toy for their new quarterback here or a nose tackle.
Since the nose tackle I was looking at for them at this spot comes with
off-the-field issues (Kendrick Ellis), I think they'll pass. Torey
Smith is not only a good receiver with speed, but a terrific kid. He
wins the day at this spot.
Early April mock draft was Dalton QB; Last mock draft was Paea DT
Prior picks: Locker QB
|Williams will be
drafted as a cornerback by the Texans and he will be a solid one.
However, if it doesn't work for him there, I have him rated as the top
free safety in the draft and that is also a position of need for the
Last two mock drafts was A Williams CB/FS
Prior picks: A Smith DE/OLB
Vikings lose out
on the top seven quarterbacks. However, there is a player I like a
lot and just maybe, Minnesota does too. In my opinion Stanzi
should be mentioned with the second tier of quarterbacks. This may
be a surprise to some if it happens, but not to me. I expect him to
be a very good NFL starting quarterback.
Early April mock draft was Paea DT; Last mock draft was Casey DT
Prior picks: Liguet DT
|This will only
happen if teams in need of an outside linebacker have a similar grade on
Ayers as I do. Most have him as a sure-fire first round pick.
So this is a mixed blessing for Lion fans who see this. If I'm wrong
this would be a steal, but he may not be available. If I'm right
this becomes a solid pick, drafting Ayers where I have his value, not a
Last two mock drafts was Ayers OLB
Prior picks: Jones WR
49ers need a pass rushing outside linebacker. Reed is available
again so I have them drafting him over Moch. If
what I read is true, and Houston DE/OLB Wisconsin failed a drug test at
the Combine (marijuana), then I have the Pats taking Reed and the 49ers
would also pass on Houston and draft Moch OLB Nevada.
Continue to follow the blue to see my projected impact.
Early April mock draft was Moch OLB; Last mock draft was Reed OLB
Prior picks: Gabbert QB
continue to rebuild their defense. Both Burton and McGrath are
strong safety types. Moore is a ballhawking free safety, a position
of need and good value at this spot in the draft.
Last two mock drafts was Moore FS
Prior picks: Dareus DT, Wilson ILB
|The Rams desperately
need a 4-3 outside linebacker, whether a SAM or a WILL. A gutsy pick
here would be the smallish Rolle who is a tackling machine. I
would do it, but I'm only mocking. Therefore, I have them going with
Bruce Carter to be their SAM. If he wasn't injured before the draft
he could have gone higher.
Last two mock drafts was B Carter OLB
Prior picks: Bowers DE
|Yes, I know there
are speed guys still on the board, but the Raiders can get some speed
later. For now they need a potential replacement for Gallery who may
leave in free agency.
Early April mock draft was Boling OG; Last mock draft was Ijalana OG/OT
|The Jaguars need a
defensive end who can get pressure on the quarterback. This pick
could come down to Sheard or Bailey. If
Houston drops because what I read is true about him failing a drug test at
the Combine (marijuana), then he will be available here and will be
considered along with Bailey. However, I have the Jaguars taking the
larger prospect and will stay with that projection even with Houston
falling. Continue following the blue to see where I would project
Houston to be drafted.
Early April mock draft was Cu Brown CB; Last mock draft was Bailey DE
Prior picks: Amukamara CB
|The Chargers like
big, fast receivers and Baldwin fills that need. One of these days
San Diego is going to have to pony-up for Vincent Jackson or lose
him. Baldwin gives them some flexibility in that regard.
Last two mock drafts was Baldwin WR
Prior picks: Watt DE
|The bold move would
be to draft Rolle, a player I have a first round grade on (I may be the
only draft analyst who does). Rolle is a perfect fit for their scheme and would give them their best
sideline-to-sideline WILL since Brooks. However with the Talib mess
and corners Harris
and Curtis Brown available, I look for the Bucs to grab Harris.
Last two mock drafts was Rolle OLB
Prior picks: Kerrigan DE
|On the surface the
Bradford/Jacobs/Ware trio looks solid. However, the Giants are a
team that prefers to draft a year early rather than a year late. There
were cracks in the Giants' rushing armor last year. LeShoure will be
their future lead back.
Last two mock drafts was LeShoure RB
Prior picks: Austin DT
re-thinking. I'll change from my momentary thought of a wide
receiver. As mentioned, I like Blair
White and believe he can be a very good NFL player. Here's
anticipating the Colts do to. Casey would be an upgrade at defensive
tackle for the Colts.
Early April mock draft was Austin DT; Last mock draft was Hankerson
Prior picks: Costanzo OT
|Cannon is strong
and has quick feet and will be a solid right tackle in the NFL.
Worst case he can be kicked inside to guard. Both positions are
positions of need for the Eagles. However, I just read:
"A biopsy on TCU G/T Marcus Cannon revealed that he has a treatable
form of lymphoma, and he will begin chemotherapy on Wednesday" (Rotoworld.com).
Unfortunately this will impact his draft status. I wish the kid well
and suspect a team will draft him late or sign him as a priority college
street free agent (when allowed) and stash him on the non-football/illness
list just as Rotoworld conjectures. So the selection now becomes Orlando
Franklin OT/OG Miami. He played left tackle last year,
but projects as a right tackle or guard in the NFL.
Last two mock drafts was Harris CB
Prior picks: J Smith CB
|If the draft
unfolds as I have it mocked; the Chiefs consider themselves lucky that
Hankerson is still available here. He is my third ranked receiver in
the draft, a player I have a first round grade on.
Last two mock drafts was Gates WR
Prior picks: Taylor DT
|Foster is a player moving up teams'
draft boards. There is a lot of excellent game film on him. He
is a tackling machine.
Last two mock drafts was Foster OLB/ILB
Prior picks: Clayborn DE
|The Seahawks need a
cornerback and there is a very good one, Curtis Brown, for them to grab
here. I have him rated more highly than most. He is my number
Early April mock draft was Ijalana OG/OT; Last most draft was Cu Brown CB
Prior picks: Mallett QB
|Talk about a
perfect fit. With cagey and physical old pros at wide receiver, this
speedy waterbug is just what this offense needed. He will be their
slot receiver and help out converting first downs, and making big plays
from the get-go.
Last two mock drafts was Jernigan
Prior picks: Wilkerson DE
|The choice here
could come down to defensive end (Sheard) or wide receiver. While
Biermann didn't get many sacks last year he was among the leaders in
quarterback pressures. So with the speedy and talented Gates on the
board I would look for the Falcons to draft him to open up the field for
White and Gonzalea.
Early April mock draft was Sheard DE; Last mock draft was Rudolph TE
Prior picks: Pouncey OG
develop into their starting running back. Green-Ellis did a great
job, but Williams has more upside.
Last two mock drafts was Williams RB
Prior picks: Jordan DE, Houston OLB, Watkins OG
|Moch is a
tremendous athlete and a good pass rusher. Call it Larry-English-insurance. Not
to mention that Phillips is coming off a career year and will have to
repeat for me to believe he is that dominate a player. This
is where I believe Houston would fall to. So if the rumor of a
failed drug test for Houston at the Combine is true (marijuana), then at
the end of round two he would be worth the risk by San Diego, especially
with Moch gone in that scenario. So the pick would be Houston OLB
Early April mock draft was C Carter OLB; Last mock draft was Moch OLB
Prior picks: Watt DE, Baldwin WR
| Cobb is a good fit in Chicago's
offense. However, he will not be a number one, just another good
player to add to their receiver rotation.
Last two mock drafts was Cobb WR
Prior picks: Solder OT
|Right guard was a
revolving door for awhile for the Steelers last year. Rackley would
help the Steelers with its running game and Foster is available to allow
the small school prospect time to grow into a starting role. This
could also be Boling depending on who the Steelers like better.
Last two mock drafts was Rackley OG
Prior picks: Carimi OT
|Now that I have the
Packers drafting offensive line in round one and not wide receiver, I
believe they go receiver here if one they like falls. Little is a
good fit for Green Bay.
Early April mock draft was Cannon OT/OG; Last mock draft was C Carter OLB
Prior picks: Sherrod OT