JAY GOLDBERG's MOCK DRAFT
4/27/07
now 3 rounds
| Pick | Team | Pick | Comment |
| 1. | Oakland |
Russell QB LSU |
The Raiders need a quarterback and Russell has the big arm that Davis likes.
He is also a big kid who will be able to take the beating he'll get from the
Raiders' porous offensive line. If Randy Moss decides to give the kid a
chance, Russell could be ideal for resurrecting his career. Russell throws
the deep ball very well. Pick history: Russell, Russell, Russell |
| 2. | Detroit |
Adams DE Clemson |
Adams and the Lions are a match that makes sense and one that should happen.
For it to happen the Lions will have to trade down, #2 is a bit too high for the
best defensive end in the draft. The potential trade of Briggs to
Washington will have a major impact on Detroits' trade partners. If the
Redskins stay at #6, the Lions cannot risk trading to a team below them since
they also need a pass rusher and could target Adams. However, they could
be a potential trade partner, moving up to #2 to grab Johnson ahead of Tampa
Bay. My one change, is that I now expect Tampa Bay to move up to grab
Johnson. Pick history: Adams, Adams, Adams |
| 3 | Cleveland |
Peterson RB Oklahoma |
Peterson's Combine workout makes him the pick although Thomas will be
tempting (which will help grease the wheels for the trade between Detroit
and Arizona). Many mock drafts now have the Browns selecting Quinn.
However, the Browns want to win now. Look for QB Trent Green to wind up in
Cleveland, not Miami, and for the Browns to draft Peterson, who is the next NFL
stud running back. Having Jamal Lewis will have no impact on the selection
of Peterson. He has become one of those "good, but replaceable" running
backs (much like the departed Droughns). Pick history: Thomas, Peterson, Peterson |
| 4 | Tampa Bay |
Johnson WR Georgia Tech |
No team is rooting for the Briggs to Washington trade more than the Bucs.
If the Redskins stay at #6 they are a threat to trade with Detroit to jump ahead
of them and select Johnson. Even if the Bears would like to do the same
thing, I can't see the Lions trading with their NFC North rivals. Despite
all the recent Gruden talk, if Peterson is on the board as well as Johnson,
Johnson will be the pick. Now expect the Bucs to move up to #2 to grab
Johnson. Pick history: Johnson, Johnson, Johnson |
| 5. | Arizona |
Thomas OT Wisconsin |
Thomas is the player the Cards want but they will probably have to trade with
Detroit to get him. If Detroit stays at 2 and drafts Thomas then the Cards
may look to drop a few spots to draft Levi Brown. If they stay at #5 and
Thomas is off the board, they could reach for Brown. Pick history: Brown, Thomas, Thomas |
| 6. | Washington |
Okoye DT Louisville |
The two players the Redskins want the most, Johnson and Adams are off the board.
Previously, I had them selecting Anderson, and while that is still a
possibility, he appears to be slipping a bit. While a big body
run-stuffing DT like Branch is what the Redskins need, he is falling further
than Anderson on many draft boards. Okoye is a young player with excellent
athleticism for a defensive tackle and, because of his youth, can get even
bigger. In addition to his ability to play the run, Okoye has pass rush
skills which is also a need for Washington. Pick history: Anderson, Anderson, Okoye |
| 7. | Minnesota |
Quinn QB Notre Dame |
The Vikings got burned with the speedster Williamson, so I don't think they'll
go for Ginn Jr. Quinn has too much upside for a team without a sure thing
for now or the future to pass up. Looks like the trade up for Jackson was a mistake last
year. Pick history: Jarrett, Quinn, Quinn |
| 8. | Atlanta |
Landry FS LSU |
Landry had a great workout showing tremendous speed to go with his on-field
talent. Landry can play in the box, and has the speed to cover slot
receivers when needed. Long term he may be a better strong safety than
free safety, however, he'll step in and start opposite Lawyer Milloy from day
one. Pick history: Nelson, Landry, Landry |
| 9. | Miami |
Ginn Jr. WR Ohio State |
With Quinn off the board, the Dolphins go for a playmaker on offense. Ginn
Jr. is not my second rated receiver, but he is a perfect fit for the Dolphins.
First, they lost Welker, so Ginn Jr. not only replaces him in that role, but is
an upgrade over a good football player. Second, even if he doesn't have a
big stat year, he will make Chris Chambers a more productive football player.
Teams will have to respect Ginn Jr.'s game-breaking speed so a safety will have
to shade to his side of the field. That will open up the big play for
Chambers, who also has good speed. In addition, on third downs the
Dolphins can line up Booker and Ginn Jr. on the outside, and move Chambers to
the slot where he will be lethal. So even if Ginn Jr. doesn't catch a lot
of balls, he will have a major positive impact on the Dolphins' offense. Pick history: Quinn, Ginn Jr., Ginn Jr. |
| 10. | Houston |
Staley OT Central Michigan |
Carr was running for his life more often than not behind the Texans' offensive
line. New starter Schaub was unable to steal some of Vick's speed and
quickness on his way out of the Falcon's door. Therefore, the Texans' will
need to protect him better than they did Carr, or he won't fare any better.
The Spencer injury means the Texans need an OLT. While I like Levi Brown more
than Staley, he did not test as well as I expected. The zone blocking
scheme used by the Texans requires quick, athletic offensive lineman. That
fits the fast-rising, former TE Staley to a tee. Pick history: Peterson, Brown, Staley |
| 11. | San Francisco |
Branch DT Michigan |
Last year while the big man Ngata started to slip I said it was a mistake.
This year I'll say the same thing about Branch. Branch is strong, and has
good speed and athleticism for his size. He will be a run-stuffer as a nose in a
3-4, one capable of engaging blockers, keeping the linebackers free to make
plays.
The 49ers want to move towards a 3-4 and that defense needs a stud in the
middle. Branch is that guy. Pick history: Branch, Branch, Branch |
| 12. | Buffalo |
Lynch RB California |
When the Bills selected Whitner early in round one last year, most draft
analysts blasted them. I did not. I liked the pick. The Bills
are a team that gets the new NFL landscape. Prior to free agency and the
salary cap, drafting the best player available made sense. It was the only
way teams could get top players. Today, the draft is just one way to
replenish talent. Free agency is another option. In addition, the
salary cap means a team cannot afford to have too much money tied up in any
position. Therefore, need is more important than ever when approaching the
college draft. That doesn't mean that a team should reach significantly
for a player, but a team should arrange players in groups and choose the player
they need most from that group, not the top player or two or three in the group.
Along that line of thinking, Lynch is not the #12 ranked player in the draft,
but he is in the next group of 10 to 15 players and fills a major need for the
Bills. Willis is also a strong possibility here, but the Bills plan to
move Crowell to the middle and he should be fine there. Pick history: Willis, Lynch, Lynch |
| 13. | St. Louis |
Anderson DE Arkansas |
The Rams need a LB, a DT, a pass-rushing DE, and a young WR. I know they
now have DE James Hall, formerly of Detroit, but the Lions' number one need in
the draft is a pass-rushing defensive end, so if Hall was the answer, I doubt
they would have got rid of him. Of the Rams' four needs DE and WR have
players worth drafting at this spot. However, there is excellent depth at
WR in this draft, so Anderson will be the Rams' pick. Pick history: Timmons, Timmons, Anderson |
| 14. | Carolina |
Willis ILB Mississippi |
For a team that many thought would go to the Super Bowl last year, this team
certainly has a lot of needs. While many draft analysts point to safety in
this spot, there are some interesting options later in the draft (Weddle, Rouse,
Piscitelli, Wendling, etc.). With Rucker, who was slowing down anyway,
coming off injury, and long time backup Al Wallace gone, the Panthers suddenly
need a defensive end. Carriker is a player I like a lot and still could be the
pick. However, with Morgan not able to stay healthy, and the team in need
of a playmaker to replace Witherspoon, Willis makes sense since he can start out
at the weakside, and move to the middle if (when?) Morgan gets injured. Pick history: Rice, Nelson, Willis |
| 15. | Pittsburgh |
Carriker DE Nebraska |
Carriker is a player I like a lot. You just don't
get DEs who are close to 300 pounds and test out well when compared to smaller
athletic ends. Carriker is relentless, will be stout against the run, and
can rush the passer. In addition, he can play end in both the currebt 3-4,
and the 4-3, new
coach Tomlins' preferred system, which may be used in the future. Pick history: Carriker, Carriker, Hall |
| 16. | Green Bay |
Olsen TE Miami |
While the The Packers need a running back, they will wait to grab one later in
the draft. In olden days Favre liked throwing to tight end Mark Chumura.
Bubba Franks, who showed promise early on his career, has disappointed recently.
Olsen will provide Favre with a reliable weapon at tight end. Now if the
get Randy Moss ..... Pick history: Lynch, Olsen, Olsen |
| 17. | Jacksonville |
Nelson FS Florida |
While DE Charles Johnson is an option, with Grant leaving for Seattle, the Jaguars are left
with two thumpers at safety (Darius and Sensabaugh) and could use a playmaking
center-field type of safety. Nelson had 6 interceptions at Florida last
season and covers a lot of ground with his sub-4.4 speed. This choice is
not a knock on Sensabaugh, who I believe will be a solid NFL player. He is just
more of an in-the-box safety than a true free safety. Pick history: Ginn Jr, Johnson, Nelson |
| 18. | Cincinnati |
Harrell DT Tennessee |
The Bengals need help in the middle, badly. Harrell is a strong, athletic
tackle with the talent to be a star in the NFL. Some teams may have him
downgraded on their draft boards because he tore his bicep in his senior year
and only played three games. The Bengals draft Harrrell replacing
character risk with injury risk. This time, however, the risk pays off. Pick history: Moses, Okoye, Harrell |
| 19. | Tennessee |
Hall CB Michigan |
I could see the Titans selecting a receiver like Meachem or Bowe, a safety like
Meriweather, or a guard like Grubbs or Blalock. However, with Jones out
for the year, and the top corner Hall still on the board, that is the way the
Titans will go. THere will still be good receivers and guards available later in
the draft. Pick history: Okoye, Meachem, Meachem |
| 20. | N.Y. Giants |
Houston CB Arkansas |
A team needs at least one corner who is above average, doesn't it? The
Giants current cornerbacks, Madison, Webster, McQuarters, and Dockery, bring one
word to mind - ehhh. Houston is my top rated corner in the draft and would
immediately become the Giants' top cornerback. He has the speed, strength,
quickness, talent and attitude to be a perennial Pro Bowl player. Pick history: Ugoh, Hall, Houston |
| 21. | Denver |
Moss DE Florida |
With Willis off the board, the Broncos will wait until round two and hope David
Harris is availabl as Al Wilson;s replacement. If not, there are other
options. The Broncos draft Moss to provide them with the pass rush they
desperately need. Pick history: Pitcock, Ugoh, Willis |
| 22. | Dallas |
Meriweather FS Miami |
This may be a no-brainer if Meriweather is on the board and nobody unexpected
falls. I know the Cowboys' signed Hamlin, but if you watched Seahawk games
last year you know that they suffered from the same weakness as the Boys;
safeties who had lapses in coverage. Hamlin is more like Roy Williams than
like a true coverage safety. Meriweather is a safety, who is excellent in
pass coverage. If this scenario happens it wouldn't surprise me if Dallas
plays Hamlin at strong safety, Meriweather at weak safety, and Williams in a
roving nickel linebacker role on passing downs. Pick history: Revis, Meriweather, Meriweather |
| 23. | Kansas City |
Jarrett WR USC |
I expect the Chiefs to draft a wide receiver in this spot. I've given a
lot of thought to which one. In my many years of covering the draft I've
found teams that are on the same wavelength as me (e.g. Denver), and teams that
often, are not. The Chiefs are one of the teams with whom I often do not
see eye to eye. Therefore, I have them drafting Jarrett, a tall,
relatively slow receiver who I expect to be more like Reggie Williams (okay)
than Mike Williams (flop). I have a mid-to-late second round grade on
Jarrett, who is my ninth ranked wide receiver in the draft. He will go
higher than I have him graded, so what better than to have him drafted by a team
I don't always agree with. They will look for Shields replacement in round two. Pick history: Bowe, Bowe, Jarrett |
| 24. | New England |
Brown OT Penn State |
The Pats usually don't draft big, strong tackles; they prefer the quick,
athletic type. But they usually don't go after the top players at their
position in free agency either (Thomas, Stallworth). So while Brown is not
the usual Patriot tackle in terms of style, he is just too good for them to pass
up at this spot on the draft. Light was a bit inconsistent last year and
Brown offers depth, competition, and a future star on the Pats' offensive line. Pick history: Posluszny, Jarrett, Brown |
| 25. | N.Y. Jets |
Blalock OG Texas |
The Jets continue what they started last year and add to a young, talented
offensive line. Blalock is the choice over Grubbs because he could fit in
at either right guard or right tackle. With Ferguson and Mangold added last
year, and Blalock this year, the Jets are a team moving in the right direction. Pick history: Blalock, Houston, Blalock |
| 26. | Philadelphia |
Revis CB Pittsburgh |
The Eagles lost Roderick Hood who has been a solid #3 corner for them for years.
While former Giant William James (Peterson) is on hand, the Giants let him go
because of serious back troubles. Revis will step in immediately as the
nickel, and could become a better corner than either Brown or Sheppard.
Remember, the Eagles drafted Brown and Sheppard when Troy Vincent and Bobby
Taylor were still a top starting duo. Pick history: Bush, Ross, Revis |
| 27. | New Orleans |
Timmons OLB Florida State |
With the signing of David, the Saints no longer have to go corner at this
spot. While they signed Simmons and have above average linebackers, the
Saints don't have a dominate linebacker who can be the face of the
defense. Timmons will be that guy. Pick history: McCauley, Revis, Ross |
| 28. | New England |
Beason ILB/OLB Miami |
Look for the Pats to draft Beason and move him to inside linebacker.
Posluzny, could be considered, but he played better as a junior as a weakside
linebacker in a 4-3 than he did as a senior playing inside in a 3-4.
Beason is a weakside linebacker who made tackles sideline to sideline in
college, but showed only good speed (not top speed) in his workouts. He
could be a perfect fit inside for the Pats. And don't compare his
situation to the Jets' Vilma (who played better in a 4-3 than the 3-4).
Vilma bulked up from his college weight to get to the 230's to play in the
middle in the NFL. Beason played in the 230's at Miami. Pick history: Meriweather, Willis, Beason Prior players selected: OT Brown |
| 29. | Baltimore |
Kalil C USC |
While it will be tempting to draft a player to replace the departed Thomas at
this spot (and players like Moss and Spencer are available and worthy of this
spot in the draft), Mangold showed how drafting a top center can help a football
team. Flynn is getting up in age and was overmatched at times last year.
Kalil will come in and start, relegating Flynn to quality reserve. Pick history: Leonard, Moss, Kalil |
| 30. | San Diego |
Bowe WR LSU |
The Chargers get a steal at the bottom of round one. Bowe is my #2 rated
receiver and will upgrade the entire Charger offense. He is even one of
the better blocking receivers which will help Tomlinson, although he needs very
little help. Bowe will quickly become a favorite target of Philip Rivers. Pick history: Meachem, Rice, Bowe |
| 31. | Chicago |
Posluszny OLB Penn State |
This is Briggs last year with the Bears. Posluszny may be the best pure
weakside linebacker in the draft. In an ironic twist, however, if the
Bears trade Briggs and swap picks in round one with the Redskins, they would
probably lose Posluszny, the ideal replacement for Briggs. Posluszny would
be gobbled up by the Colts who pick next making him (or possible Beason)
unavailable for the Bears in round two where they pick fifth in the Redskin's
slot. If the Colts passed on Posluszny (or Beason if he is the player that
falls), there is a good chance he (or Beason) would fall to the Bears in round
two. It is this scenario that has the Bears thinking hard on a trade, that
on the surface, looks like a no-brainer. Pick history: Johnson, Posluszny, Posluszny |
| 32. | Indianapolis |
Ross CB Texas |
Earlier I wrote that no team is rooting for a Briggs to Washington trade as much
as Tampa Bay. While that is true, Indy isn't far behind. If Chicago
moves out of position #31 (and Washington into this spot), there is a much better
chance that the Colts can get their replacement for Cato June at this spot in
the draft. I know they are talking up Keiaho, but I'm not convinced he
will be their guy. With the top weakside linebackers gone, and Dvaid now
joining Harper as ex-Colts, Ross becomes the pick over Smith. Pick history: Beason, Beason, Smith |
ROUND 2
| Pick | Team | Pick | Comment |
| 33. | Oakland |
Ugoh OT LSU |
After drafting their franchise quarterback in round one, the Raiders must go
about the business of protecting the youngster. The Raiders are moving
disappointing to date Robert Gallery back to the right side. Veteran Barry
Sims is slotted for left tackle. Ugoh can push Sims to the bench, or Gallery if
he remains a swinging door to the quarterback. Pick history: Ugoh Prior players selected: QB Russell |
| 34. | Detroit |
Grubbs OG Auburn |
Many projections have the Lions' drafting Edwards at this spot and that is a
possibility. However, only da Raiders allowed more sacks than the
Lions last year and they were last in the league in average rush yards averaging
an uninspiring 70.6 yards per game and 3.7 yards per rush. With Grubbs still on
the board, the Lions (listening to Martz saying his system doesn't need a big
time quarterback), the Lions shun Stanton and draft Grubbs, who many have rated
the #1 guard in the draft. Pick history: Grubbs Prior players selected: DE Adams |
| 35 | Tampa Bay |
Spencer DE Purdue |
I can see the Bucs going corner, safety, or defensive end at this spot.
There are certainly quality players worthy of this spot at all three of those
positions. However, with Rice no sure thing to rebound, White gone in free
agency, recently signed Kevin Carter's best sack days behind him, and Spires not
exactly a sack machine, the Bucs most pressing need at this spot is a pass
rushing defensive end. There are a number of possibilities at this spot,
but the Bucs take Spencer who will be better at end in a 4-3 than as an OLB in a
3-4.. Pick history: Moss Prior players selected: WR Johnson |
| 36. | Cleveland |
Wright CB Florida |
Cleveland could go offensive line here, but Baxter is unable to stay healthy and
Kenny Wright and Holly are best served as nickel corners. Therefore, I
have the Browns drafting Eric Wright, who has shot up the draft board based on
his tremendous post-season, to pair with Bodden. For the record, Josh
Wilson is the next corner on my board. He is a terrific player but may
drop because of his lack of height. Pick history: Wright Prior players selected: RB Peterson |
| 37. | Chicago |
Pittman RB Ohio State |
If the Bears trade Briggs, then they will still have a need for a weakside
linebacker at this spot since their pick in round one at #6 will not be a
linebacker. A sleeper at this spot if Posluszny and Beason are gone in
that scenario is Quincy Black of New Mexico. As it stands now this is a
tough call. The Bears have age and need depth on their offensive line.
They can also use playmakers on offense. My choice came down to Aaron
Sears since he could backup guard and tackle and would be a future starter,
Jason Hill a wide receiver I like a lot, and Antonio Pittman a perfect
replacement for Thomas Jones. Obviously I went with Pittman. I did
so because I do not have faith in Cedric Benson and Pittman cannot only can be a
compliment to Benson, but he has the ability to be a number 1 back. Pick history: Pittman Prior players selected: OLB Posluszny |
| 38. | Arizona |
Johnson DE Georgia |
The Cards signing of safety Terrance Holt changed my thinking regarding this
pick, and long term, that signing could be a mistake. As it turns out
Michael Griffin is still on the draft board and he would have been a dynamic
player to pair with Adrian Wilson, but with Holt on board, the Cards won't go in
that direction. However, Spencer is a nice get as well. With Berry
not being able to stay healthy, a pass-rushing end is needed. Before the season, if anyone
told you Johnson would be drafted ahead of his more heralded teammate Moses you
wouldn't have believed it. Pick history: Spencer Prior players selected: OT Thomas |
| 39. | Atlanta |
Crowder DE Texas |
The loss of Kerney in free agency leaves a big hole on the Falcons' defensive
line. Playing opposite John Abraham can be a plum assignment because of
the double-teams he constantly gets in pass-rushing situations. Crowder has
excellent athleticism. He will go higher than many have him graded.
However, I like the kid and believe he is worth this spot in the draft. Pick history: Johnson Prior players selected: S Landry |
| 40. | Miami |
Griffin SS/FS Texas |
Events leading up to the draft couldn't have worked out better for Miami.
Just a few weeks ago Chicago, Arizona or Atlanta could have selected Griffin
ahead of the Dolphins. However, Chicago traded for Archuleta, Arizona
signed Holt, and Atlanta drafted Landry in round one. The Dolphins
secondary needs a major upgrade and Griffin is a good start. He can be a
difference maker. Pick history: Griffin Prior players selected: WR Ginn Jr. |
| 41. | Minnesota |
Meachem WR Tennessee |
The Vikings, with the
disappointing, but vision-corrected Williamson, and the okay slot receiver who
looks great in practice Wade as the current starters, means Meachem would easily
become Minnesota's top target in his rookie year. With the depth at receiver, at
least one top receiver is going to fall. The Vikings are in a perfect spot
here to grab the "faller". Pick history: Hill Prior players selected: QB Quinn |
| 42. | San Francisco |
Rice WR South Carolina |
This choice could come down to inside linebacker or wide receiver. With
Lelie added, the 49ers have a speed receiver. Rice is a good compliment
since he has good size and the only thing he is lacking is top speed.
Besides, the 49ers had a lot of success with another wide receiver named Rice.
If the 49ers went linebacker here, David Harris would make sense. Pick history: Rice Prior players selected: DT Branch |
| 43. | Buffalo |
Smith WR USC |
While the Bills could use a linebacker at this spot, the best value on the board
at a need position is wide receiver. The pick could come down to Hill,
Smith, and Gonzalez. While I like Hill, I have the Bills taking Smith who
will finally give Buffalo a receiver who can take advantage of the attention
opposing defesnes give to Evans. Pick history: Timmons Prior players selected: RB Lynch |
| 44. | Atlanta |
Leonard RB/FB Rutgers |
All I keep reading is how the current Falcon running backs (Dunn, Norwood) are
not good fits for new coach Petrino's preferred rushing style. Most
stories writing about this fact also say that his former Louisville player,
Michael Bush, is a logical choice to be drafted by his former college coach.
However, Louisville played in the Big East so Petrino is also very familiar with
Brian Leonard. Leonard is also a big strong back, who is faster and a
better athlete than Bush, doesn't have his injury concerns, and can be a backup
fullback as well. Pick history: Leonard Prior players selected: S Landry, DE Crowder |
| 45. | Carolina |
Rouse SS Virginia Tech |
It is here in round two, that the Panthers draft their safety, not in round one
as many project. There are a number of good safeties available at this
spot. While Eric Weddle has received a lot of attention because he was a
favorite of NFL Network analyst Mike Mayock, Aaron Rouse is a big safety, with
good athleticism and speed, who is a big hitter and has better cover skills than
many think. Pick history: Prior players selected: LB Willis |
| 46. | Pittsburgh |
Black OLB New Mexico |
Pittsburgh 1s an interesting team to project in the draft on defense. Is
Tomlin committed to to 3-4, or is he looking to move to a 4-3? I believe
he will stay with the 3-4 as long as it's successful, but will want to start
having some pieces in place in case he wants to transition to the 4-3.
With than in mind, Black has the size to play inside in a 3-4, and can become a
dominate weakside linebacker in a 4-3. He is one of the fastest, quickest,
and athletic linebackers in the draft. Pick history: Crowder Prior players selected: DE Carricker |
| 47. | Green Bay |
Weddle SS Utah |
The Packers could go safety or running back in this spot. At running back,
Irons is too similar to Morency and Bush, who would be a good player to pair
with Morency, is an injury risk. Therefore, look for the Pack to address
their need at running back in round three, unless they are sold on Combine
workout star Chris Henry of Arizona and feel he will be off the board by the
time they're up in round three. Weddle is a smart player who showed more
athleticism than expected during his workouts. He will replace Manuel in
the Packers' starting lineup. Pick history: Weddle Prior players selected: TE Olsen |
| 48. | Jacksonville |
Gonzalez WR Ohio State |
The Jaguars top three receivers are all tall, often unreliable, options.
Of the three (Jones, Williams, Wilford), I like Jones' potential the best.
However, a quick, sure-handed receiver would make sense to initially be a
reliable, move-the-chains slot receiver, and down-the-line to start opposite
Jones. Gonzalez fits that job description to a tee. He is a polished
route runner, has reliable hands, has good speed and is quick. He could
become "fill in the blank's" (Leftwich, Garrard, Gray) favorite target. Pick history: Gonzalez Prior players selected: FS Nelson |
| 49. | Cincinnati |
McCauley CB Fresno State |
If the Bengals even think of offense at this spot they should replace their
general manager immediately. Getting more talent on defense is a must.
I could see the Bengals going defensive end here since Justin Smith is talking
holdout and could be gone next year. However, with O'Neal slipping and
likely to be moved, a young corner to pair with Jefferson, moving Ratliff to the
nickel where he belongs, makes sense. The selection could be Josh Wilson,
but McCauley fits the Bengals scheme better. Pick history: McCauley Prior players selected: DT Harrell |
| 50. | Tennessee |
Hill WR Washington |
The Titans could go free safety or wide receiver. Hill is a player I like
a lot. It wouldn't surprise me if he becomes the second best receiver in
the draft (behind Johnson). Hill is a steal here, and a player the Titans'
can use. Pick history: Wendling Prior players selected: CB Hall |
| 51. | N.Y. Giants |
Marten OT Boston College |
The Giants could go free safety, running back (a smaller, quick type of back
like Irons), linebacker, or tackle. However, left tackle is their biggest
need and an intriguing, fast-rising prospect, Marten is on the board. The
Giants' let Petitgout move on and their current plan is to move former starting
guard Dave Diehl to left tackle. Marten will provide the Giants with a
backup plan, and a future starter at left tackle. Pick history: Marten Prior players selected: CB Houston |
| 52. | St. Louis |
Tyler DT North Carolina St |
This pick comes down to a choice between a defensive tackle or a wide receiver
who can be #4 now, and be the future replacement for Bruce in a year
or two (either as starter or slot receiver with Bennett moving to Bruce's slot). With better depth at receiver, I look for the Rams to draft Tyler,
a very strong kid who can stuff the run. However, if they drafted wide
receiver Allison at this spot I couldn't argue. Pick history: Tyler Prior players selected: DE Anderson |
| 53. | Dallas |
Sears OG Tennessee |
For the second spot in a row, Allison will be considered. However, with
Rivera coming off surgery again, and the jury still out on Kosier, I look for
the Cowboys to draft a guard. The choice could come down to Sears, a
college tackle projected to guard in the NFL, or Beekman, currently an
underrated prospect who is a true guard. I have the Cowboys settling on
Sears. Pick history: Sears Prior players selected: FS Meriweather |
| 54. | Kansas City |
Beekman OG Boston College |
With Shields retirement, I have the Chiefs moving off the corner at this spot
and taking a guard instead. Beekman is one of the best pure guards in the
draft. He should be a good player for years. Pick history: Wilson Prior players selected: WR Jarrett |
| 55. | Seattle |
Miller TE Arizona State |
The Seahawks are another team that can use a run-stuffing defensive tackle.
But just like with K.C., there isn't a player at that position I have ranked in
the next group of players who is a massive run-stuffing defensive tackle (Mebane
is a defensive tackle who could be considered at this spot but he is a bit
undersized). With tight end Stevens cut loose, the Seahawks signed and are
talking up Pollard, but he hasn't been a top flight tight end since leaving the
Colts. At this point in the draft Miller is a steal. He is a very
good pass catching tight end. Pick history: Miller |
| 56. | Denver |
D Harris ILB Michigan |
The Broncos strategy pays off. Harris is available at this spot in the
draft. At least in my mock. Harris start6s in the middle in place of
the released Al Wilson from day one. Pick history: Prior players selected: DE Moss |
| 57. | Philadelphia |
Bush RB Louisville |
This is a good spot for Bush. The Eagles resigned Buckhalter so if Bush is
slow to recover, he can spend time on the PUP, or take a year to get back to
full strength, while Buckhalter backs up Westbrook. When Bush gets
healthy, he will be a good, power compliment to Westbrook, frustrating Westbrook
fantasy football owners who will lose goal line touchdowns to Bush. Pick history: Prior players selected: CB Revis |
| 58. | New Orleans |
Patrick TE Delaware |
While it would be wise for the Saints to draft more defensive talent, and they
signed former 49ers tight end Eric Johnson, Ben Patrick will be too tempting for
Coach Peyton to pass up. He likes two-way tight ends, something the
injury-prone Johnson is not (he is mainly a receiver), and Patrick may be the
best blocking/receiving combo tight end in the draft. Patrick has a big
upside and will help both the passing and running games of the Saints. Pick history: Patrick Prior players selected: LB Timmons |
| 59. | N. Y. Jets |
Wilson CB Maryland |
Wilson has a chance to come in and start right away opposite Dyson. Miller
is best suited as a nickel, as is Barrett, Poteat, D Coleman any other of the
corners currently on the Jets' roster. Wilson is an underrated prospect
who may fall because he lacks ideal size. He is a steal at this spot on
the draft. Pick history: Wade Prior players selected: OG Blalock |
| 60. | Miami |
Stanton QB Michigan State |
What Miami does in this spot will depend what they do at quarterback over the
days leading up to the draft. Stanton is their pick and becomes the Dolphins' quarterback of the future.
In an ironic twist, this will be the third second round pick the Dolphins spent
on a quarterback in recent years (traded second round picks for Feeley and
Culpepper). At least this time it's a player they are selecting in the
draft. Pick history: Stanton Prior players selected: Ginn Jr., FS/SS Griffin |
| 61. | Baltimore |
Shaw OLB Penn State |
Every now and then a pick looks easy. I look for the Ravens to replace
excellent athlete, former defensive end turned outside linebacker Thomas, with
Tim Shaw, a former defensive end who is a great athlete and will play outside
linebacker in a 3-4 defense in the NFL. Shaw ran the forty in the 4.4's,
ran a short shuttle in running back territory, lifted the bar 26 times, and had
one of the better high and broad jumps amongst outside linebackers available in
the draft. Pick history: Shaw Prior players selected: C Kalil |
| 62. | San Diego |
Piscitelli SS Oregon State |
This is another spot where a player jumps out at me. The Chargers have
been looking for an in the box strong safety for awhile. Kiel never lived
up to expectations. Piscitelli is a smart player, with linebacker size,
4.4 speed, wide receiver quickness (3.90 short shuttle), and good strength and
athleticism. He is a hitter, but needs to learn to wrap up better.
Piscitelli will add another unique, and top athlete to the Charger defense. Pick history: Piscitelli Prior players selected: WR Bowe |
| 63. | N. Y Jets |
Allison WR East Carolina |
Personally, I like Clowney a little more than Allison, but that is apparently a
minority view. So if the Jets agree with me the pick will be Clowney not
Allison. While receiver may not appear to be a need for the Jets, I see
Coles aging quickly, McCareins leaving one of these offseasons, Smith remaining
in a specialty role, and Dwight spending a lot of time in the trainer's room.
Cotchery is the only long term, sure-fire receiver I see on the Jets' roster.
Allison could be the answer opposite Cotchery in a couple of years. Pick history: Allison Prior players selected: OG Blalock, Wilson CB |
| 64. | Tampa Bay |
Wendling FS/SS Wyoming |
Will Allen has not developed as the Bucs had hoped. He's okay, but very
replaceable. Wendling is an athletic safety who likes to hit. He is a
good fit for the Bucs system. He is interchangeable as a weak and
strong safety since he has good cover skills for a safety and is a hitter. Pick history: Prior players selected: WR Johnson, DE Spencer |
ROUND 3
| Pick | Team | Pick | Comment |
| 65. | Oakland |
Alleman OG Akron |
While guard is not as big a need as tackle was (drafted Ugoh in my mock in round
two), the Raiders' young guards didn't exactly create big rushing lanes for the
Raiders' running backs. Both Jordan and Fargas averaged under 4 yards a
carry last year. Alleman is one of the most athletic guards in the draft
and has a great upside. Pick history: Beekman Prior players selected: QB Russell, OT Ugoh |
| 66. | Cleveland |
Abiamiri DE Notre Dame |
Abiamiri was inconsistent in college, but at times was a monster. At 267
he is a bit light for a 3-4 end, but has the frame to add 15 to 20 pounds.
He could find a home on a team that plays the aging Roye and inconsistent Smith
as their starting defensive ends. Pick history: McBean Prior players selected: RB Peterson, CB Wright |
| 67 | Detroit |
Edwards QB Stanford |
I can see the Lions going quarterback or cornerback at this spot. I know
the talk leading up to the draft is Edwards will go at the the top of round
two, but between him, Beck and Stanton, one should be available here. If not I would look for them to draft
Tanard Jackson, Fred Bennett, or maybe take a chance on Daymeion Hughes. Edwards
is a good match for offensive coordinator Mike Martz' offense. Pick history: Edwards Prior players selected: DE Adams, OG Grubbs |
| 68. | Tampa Bay |
Thomas DT Florida |
Thomas has excellent strength and quickness. However, he had off field
troubles at Florida. The Bucs took a chance on Warren Sapp years ago, and
will do so again with Thomas. He has the ability to be the best defense
tackle the Bucs have had since Sapp. McFarland was solid for awhile, but
he is now in Indy. Thomas should be able to give Wyms a run for his money
to start at the under-tackle this year. Worst best case, Thomas can back
up Wyms and Hovan since he has the size/strength to play the nose as well as the
athleticism to play the under-tackle. Worst worst case he spends time in
the NFL substance abuse program. Pick history: Thomas Prior players selected: WR Johnson, DE Spencer, FS Wendling |
| 69. | Arizona |
Alexander OLB Oklahoma |
One of the biggest disappointments over the last few years for me in the draft
is the lack of progress of OLB Blackstock. I thought he was a steal when
the Cards drafted him, but he hasn't been able to capture a starting job.
The selection of Alexander will allow Arizona to move Dansby back to the strongside,
and relegate Pace to pass rush specialist. Alexander is a football player who
performs better on the field than in workouts. Pick history: Black Prior players selected: OT Thomas, DE Johnson |
| 70. | Denver |
Figurs WR Kansas State |
The untimely death of Darrent Williams not only left a hole in the Bronco
secondary, but also in their return game. Figurs may be the fastest player
in the draft. He has excellent return skills and will also be a good
fourth receiver. With Walker, Marshall, Smith and Stokely on board, their
is probably only one spot left for a receiver on game day. That receiver
would be Figurs if drafted here, since he would return both punts and
kickoffs for Denver. Pick history: Prior players selected: DE Moss, LB Harris |
| 71. | Miami |
Yanda OT Iowa |
So many needs, which way to go? I can see the Dolphins looking corner or
running back at this spot as well as tackle. However, tackle is less
likely to provide a long term answer after this spot. There are some
interesting offensive tackle prospects on the board. There are some small
school prospects with good athleticism, and some larger school prospect who have
flashed top talent, but were inconsistent. Which one they will like is a
bit of a crapshoot, so I gave the Fins the tackle that I like most at this spot.
Yanda needs to bulk up and get a bit stronger, but he is a good athlete for the
position, and goes all out every play. Pick history: Prior players selected: Ginn Jr., FS/SS Griffin, QB Stanton |
| 72. | Minnesota |
Ramirez OG Texas Tech |
The Vikings have an excellent left side (through center), and Cook showed some
promise at right tackle, but Hicks didn't have as good a year as Minnesota hoped
at right guard. Ramirez is the big, strong guard who could start his
rookie year. Pick history: Alleman Prior players selected: QB Quinn, WR Meachem |
| 73. | Houston |
Moses DE Georgia |
This pick could come down to a pass rushing defensive end or a fast receiver.
There are solid choices at both positions. Since the Texans took Mario
Williams as the top pick overall last year, I look for them to go for the pass
rushing defensive end to help out Williams and make their fans less disgusted at
the team passing on Bush and Young. If Moses came out after his junior
year he would have been a first round pick. If the Texans go for a wide
receiver, Clowney would be a great, not good pick. Pick history: Moses Prior players selected: OT Staley |
| 74. | Buffalo |
Jackson CB/S Syracuse |
With Clements leaving, the Bills are turning a starting cornerback spot over to
Youboty. Jackson can come in, push Youboty, and provide an alternative as a
starter at corner. Worst case Jackson is a nickel who can backup at corner
and safety. Jackson is a good football player, who performs better than he
tests. Since the Bills like athletic players in their secondary, a sleeper
for this spot is Usama Young who has skills and had a tremendous workout. Pick history: Prior players selected: RB Lynch, WR Smith |
| 75. | Atlanta |
Wrotto OG Georgia Tech |
Wrotto is the big, strong guard that is needed for Petrino's power running
game. Fornay is a good player, but a tad small for that style. Clabo
is a bit bigger than Fornay, but was a backup last year. Wrotto makes a
lot of sense at this spot for Atlanta. Pick history: Ramirez Prior players selected: S Landry, DE Crowder, RB Leonard |
| 76. | San Francisco |
Davis ILB Florida State |
With Smith getting up in age and second round rated Buster Davis still available, the 49ers get a steal at this spot in the draft.
Davis is a good fit as an inside linebacker in San Fran's 3-4 defense.
Linebacker coach Singletary worked with Davis at the enior Bowl. Pick history: Harris Prior players selected: DT Branch, WR Rice |
| 77. | Pittsburgh |
Woodley OLB/DE Michigan |
Again, drafting defense for the Steelers is an interesting exercise. Any
player drafted must fit in the current 3-4, and also have a position should
Tomlin switch to his preferred 4-3 down the line. Woodley fits that
bill. He can be an OLB in a 3-4, and has enough size to be a DE in a 4-3.
With Porter gone, Woodley will push Harrison to start in his place. Pick history: Prior players selected: DE Carricker, LB Black |
| 78. | Green Bay |
Henry RB Arizona |
My strategy for Green Bay paid off. Henry is still on the board at this
spot. He is the choice over Irons and Booker because the Pack already has
a smallish, quick back in Morency to be part of a two-headed running back.
Henry is fast, strong, quick, and athletic. However, he only started a few
games at Arizona. If his physical ability wins out, he will be the main
back. At worst, he will be the change-of-pace and short-yardage back. Pick history: Henry Prior players selected: TE Olsen, SS Weddle |
| 79. | Jacksonville |
Wade CB Tennessee |
There isn't a player on the board that jumps out at me for the Jags at this
spot. That's not a bad thing since it means the team has quality depth
(now including Nelson and Gonzalez). At corner the Jags have a good starting
duo (Mathis and Williams). With Scott Starks, Terry Cousin and Batman
Carroll, they have decent options at nickel corner. However, while all
three are fine nickels, none could step in and be an above average starter if
needed. Wade has that potential. Pick history: Bennett Prior players selected: FS Nelson, WR Gonzalez |
| 80. |
Tennessee (Cin skipped - used pick in 2006 supplemental draft) |
Irons RB Auburn |
With a second round running back (Irons) still on the board, the Titans' put off
grabbing a safety for at least another round and draft the talented Irons.
Personally, I would take Irons in this spot even if the Titans resign Chris
Brown. However, I'm not sure Tennessee will. I am not convinced that
White is a starting caliber NFL running back. Pick history: Irons Prior players selected: CB Hall, WR Hill |
| 81. | N.Y. Giants |
Booker RB Florida State |
Gee, it's now round three and I still don't have the Giants taking the
linebacker that almost everyone says they need. I love Pierce. I
liked the signing of Mitchell in free agency, and I like Wilkinson who the G-men
drafted in round three last year. Blackburn and Torbor are acceptable
subs, and the G-men can add another body or two for their bench later in the
draft. Booker is the perfect player for the Giants at this spot.
Both Jacobs and Droughns are bigger backs. Booker is the perfect
change-of-pace, and third-down back because of his big-play ability. Pick history: Booker Prior players selected: CB Houston, OT Marten |
| 82. | Kansas City |
K Brown DT Miami |
The Chiefs need a defensive tackle, and this is a good spot to take a chance on
Brown. When he puts his mind to it, he can dominate. As a third
round pick, Brown will have to work hard to get a big pay day after his rookie
contract is done. Pick history: K Brown Prior players selected: WR Jarrett, OG Beekman |
| 83. | Carolina |
Barbre OT Missouri South St |
With the Panthers changing from a power running game to a zone blocking scheme,
mobile, athletic offensive linemen are needed. You don't get more athletic
at tackle than Barbre whose workout numbers were among the best at the position
across the board. Barbre may need some time making the jump from Missouri
Southern State, but he has the skills and athletic ability to be a very good
tackle. Pick history: Barbre Prior players selected: LB Willis, SS Rouse |
| 84. | St. Louis |
Davis WR LSU |
While Clowney is the highest rated receiver on my draft board, I don't think he
will be the Rams pick. When Curtis left, the Rams replaced him with a
bigger receiver (Bennett). Therefore, I don't think the Rams will go Clowney at
this spot. Davis is a lot higher on many draft boards than on mine.
I have Taylor, McKnight and L Robinson a little ahead of him also, but I think
Davis will be drafted ahead of those three. Pick history: Davis Prior players selected: DE Anderson, DT Tyler |
| 85. | Seattle |
Soliai DT Utah |
Seattle needs a defensive tackle who can stuff the run. Soliai is a 340+ pound defensive tackle who has good speed and athleticism for
his size and could be the run-stuffer the Seahawks need in the middle of their defense. Pick history: Mebane Prior players selected: TE Miller |
| 86. | Denver |
Condren SS/FS Troy |
Lynch and Ferguson and still get it done but both are in their 30's.
Condren is a rare athlete. At Troy he got by on his athleticism so he will
need to learn to play within a system. With Lynch and Ferguson on hand he
will have time (and mentors). In the meantime, he will be a special teams
demon. How special an athlete is Condren? How about 24 reps, 4.47 in
the forty, 4.10 short shuttle, 6.69 three-cone, a 43" vertical and a 11'3" broad
jump! Huh??? This is a good football player and a rare athlete. Pick history: Condren Prior players selected: DE Moss, LB Harris, WR/KR Figurs |
| 87. | Dallas |
Clowney WR Virginia Tech |
This is another spot where I see a team moving quickly to get their card in to
the podium. With Owens always a heartbeat away from imploding, and Glenn
getting up there in years, a big-play receiver makes a lot of sense at this spot.
Clowney not only fits that bill, but is the top rated player left on my board.
I have a second round grade on him. Pick history: Clowney Prior players selected: FS Meriweather, OG Sears |
| 88. | New Orleans |
Mebane DT California |
Mebane can start off as the Saints' third defensive tackle and down the line
become a starter. A corner such as Bennett is also a possibility here, even
after signing David. Pick history: Alama-Francis Prior players selected: LB Timmons, TE Patrick |
| 89. | N. Y. Jets |
McBean DT/DE Oklahoma State |
The Pats like drafting tackles and moving them to end in their 3-4. Look
for the Jets to do the same thing. McBean has the tools to kick outside in
the Jets 3-4 defense and challenge von Oelhoffen for a starting job. Pick history: Soliai Prior players selected: OG Blalock, Wilson CB, Allison WR |
| 90. | Philadelphia |
Johnson FS/SS Arizona |
With Lewis gone, the Eagles need depth at the position. They also need a
young player to groom behind Dawkins. Johnson has good instincts and can
play both the run and pass. Johnson is nice value at this spot in the
draft. Pick history: Johnson Prior players selected: CB Revis, RB Bush |
| 91. | New England |
Scott CB Georgia Tech |
With the noise being made by Samuel, asking for a trade, the Pats will look to
add corner depth in the draft. At this spot their are a number of choices,
including the freakish athlete Young, the slow but productive Hughes, the small
school prospect Coe, and the reliable Irons. Scott is the pick because he
has a nice combination of height, speed and athleticism, and is as NFL-ready as
any of the players mentioned. Pick history: Scott Prior players selected: OT Brown, ILB Beason |
| 92. | Buffalo |
DeOssie OLB Brown |
DeOssie is a strong, fast linebacker who can push Haggan to start on the
strongside, or play the middle and allow Crowell to kick outside. He will
also be a terror on special teams. Pick history: L Robinson Prior players selected: RB Lynch, WR Smith, CB T Jackson |
| 93. | San Diego |
Battle RB Houston |
Turner the burner will have to be replaced this year or next. Turner is a
5-11, 237 pound runner with speed and strength. Battle is 5-11, 229 and
lifted the bar 19 times, and ran a 4.42 forty. He showed excellent
quickness (4.11 short shuttle) and superb athleticism (41" vertical, 10'11"
broad jump). Battle also produced on the field rushing for over 900 yards,
with 15 touchdowns and a 5.1 yard per carry average his senior year.
Battle will be a good replacement for Turner as a backup for Tomlinson. Pick history: Battle Prior players selected: WR Bowe, SS Piscitelli |
| 94. | Chicago |
Koets OT Oregon State |
The Bears could go defensive tackle at this spot but the player most worth the
spot, Pitcock, is very similar to Dusty Dvorcek drafted last year and coming
back from injury. They also signed Anthony Adams in free agency.
Therefore, the Bears will look elsewhere with this pick. A combination of
need and value for the Bears at this spot is to draft depth for their offensive
line, or to draft a tight end. With Fred Miller 34, Koets an athletic
right tackle makes sense. Offensive guard Wrotto, and tight end Allan also
received consideration by me for the Bears at this spot. Pick history: Koets Prior players selected: OLB Posluszny, Pittman RB |
| 95. | Indianapolis |
Nkang OLB Elon |
Nkang is an undersized outside linebacker with excellent speed and athleticism.
Sound familar? Yup, similar to the departed Catu June. Nkang also
has excellent strength for his size and is a good coverage linebacker. Pick history: Nkang Prior players selected: CB Ross |
| 96. | San Diego (c) |
Durant ILB Hampton |
With Edwards gone this offseason and Godfrey gone this year or next, the
Chargers need depth at inside linebacker. Wilhelm and Cooper are set as
the new inside tandem. Durant is an excellent athlete and will have time
to adjust to the NFL. Pick history: Prior players selected: WR Bowe, SS Piscitelli, Battle RB |
| 97. | San Francisco (c) |
Barnes OLB Florida Internat |
This is a pick that should happen late in day one if no other team takes a flyer
on Barnes. He is one of the few college players who has played (and with
success) outside linebacker in a 3-4 in college. He is very strong, very
fast and a good athlete. He could be special, or he could fade away.
With Lawson starting his NFL career slowly in terms of getting after thye
quarterback, Barnes increases the odds for the 49ers that they will have a
dominate pass rusher in their 3-4 defense. Pick history: Barnes Prior players selected: DT Branch, WR Rice, ILB Davis |
| 98. | Indianapolis (c) |
Taylor WR Auburn |
Taylor is a reliable target who will be a good #3 to start off and could replace
Harrison down the line. I like him in this spot over the speedy Robinson and the
inconsistent, but big-play potential of McKnight. A sleeper for the Colts
on day two is running back D.D. Terry. Pick history: Irons Prior players selected: CB Ross, OLB Nkang |
| 99. | Oakland (c) |
Robinson WR Illinois State |
Robinson is 6'2", but has the speed (4.38 in the forty) and athleticism of
smaller receivers. Davis loves speed, and this gives the Raiders a future
big-play receiver for Russell should (when?) Moss is shown the door. Pick history: Pitcock Prior players selected: QB Russell, OT Ugoh, OG Alleman |
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